Portland Trail Blazers: C GM Grade (75/100)

Competitive Strength

35% overall weight · starting 38.3

60.3

Competitive Strength combines four frozen-rotation metrics; Rotation Quality is strongest at 66.49502766429937, while Star Power is weakest at 51.70804719496975.

Star Power

30% pillar weight

51.7

The top three Star Power contributions come from Ty Jerome, Donovan Clingan, Nickeil Alexander-Walker.

Inputs

Benchmark: -0.5, -0.4, -0.1, 0.5, 0.9, 1.2, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, 2.5, 2.9, 3.1, 3.2, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 4.0, 4.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7, 4.8, 5.8, 5.8, 7.3
Eligible Player Count: 10
Raw: 2.9
Replacement Value: -1.5
Role Factor Minutes: 30

Supporting values

Contributions: Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 3.3, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 2.6, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 2.3, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0

Starting Five

25% pillar weight

64.1

Starting Five Quality combines equal contributions from Donovan Clingan, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Spencer Jones, Ty Jerome, Deni Avdija.

Inputs

Benchmark: -8.7, -7.3, -4.2, -1.0, -0.7, -0.6, -0.5, 0.0, 0.7, 1.9, 5.1, 5.8, 6.0, 6.4, 6.5, 7.0, 7.2, 7.2, 7.7, 9.0, 9.7, 9.9, 11.4, 11.5, 12.2, 12.2, 12.5, 13.2, 13.4, 22.3
Designated Starter Count: 5
Raw: 8.5
Replacement Value: -1.5
Role Factor Minutes: 28

Supporting values

Contributions: Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 2.6, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 2.3, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: -1.8, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: -1.8, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 3.3, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 2.1, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0

Rotation Quality

30% pillar weight

66.5

Rotation Quality averages fatigue-adjusted impact across 10 rotation players and 240 assigned minutes.

Inputs

Assigned Minutes: 240
Benchmark: -1.9, -1.7, -1.0, -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.8, -0.7, -0.7, -0.7, 0.3, 0.3, 0.6, 0.6, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.3, 1.3, 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 2.3, 2.8
Denominator Minutes: 240
Effective Minutes: 240.0
Raw: 1.1

Supporting values

Contributions: Adjusted Epm: 0.0, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: 0.1, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 88.7, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: -11.5, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.3, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: -3.8, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: -10.6, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 76.8, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: 9.8, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.8, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: -59.8, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 111.5, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 34, Contribution: 70.4, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false

Two Way Balance

15% pillar weight

59.1

Two-Way Balance weights the weaker defense side at 70% across 240 assigned rotation minutes.

Inputs

Assigned Minutes: 240
Defense Benchmark: -0.9, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4, -0.3, -0.0, 0.0, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.9
Denominator Minutes: 240
Effective Minutes: 240.0
Offense Benchmark: -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.3, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6
Rotation Depm: 0.1
Rotation Oepm: 1.0

Supporting values

Contributions: Adjusted Depm: 0.8, Adjusted Oepm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: 11.2, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Offensive Contribution: -11.1, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.7, Adjusted Oepm: 1.9, Assigned Minutes: 34, Defensive Contribution: 24.5, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Offensive Contribution: 64.3, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: -0.7, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: -1.1, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Offensive Contribution: -10.4, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.3, Adjusted Oepm: -0.5, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: 3.8, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Offensive Contribution: -7.6, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.7, Adjusted Oepm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: 9.8, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Luguentz Dort, Offensive Contribution: -20.4, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.2, Adjusted Oepm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 34, Defensive Contribution: 6.5, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Offensive Contribution: 70.4, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.9, Adjusted Oepm: -0.2, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: 12.9, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Offensive Contribution: -3.1, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.3, Adjusted Oepm: -2.1, Assigned Minutes: 34, Defensive Contribution: 10.9, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Spencer Jones, Offensive Contribution: -70.7, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 3.8, Assigned Minutes: 34, Defensive Contribution: -16.3, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Offensive Contribution: 127.8, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -1.0, Adjusted Oepm: 3.0, Assigned Minutes: 34, Defensive Contribution: -32.3, Effective Minutes: 34.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Offensive Contribution: 102.7, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false
Defensive Strength: 47.0
Offensive Strength: 87.2

Roster Construction

20% overall weight · starting 72.4

82.3

Roster Construction combines four full-roster metrics; Position Coverage is strongest at 100.0, while Skill Coverage is weakest at 56.68103800555988.

Roster Completeness

15% pillar weight

93.3

Roster Completeness scores 14 standard contracts and 2 of 3 available two-way slots.

Inputs

Maximum Standard Roster: 15
Maximum Two Way Contracts: 3
Minimum Standard Roster: 14
Standard Count: 14
Two Way Count: 2

Supporting values

Standard Roster Score: 90.0
Two Way Bonus: 3.3

Position Coverage

25% pillar weight

fallback

100.0

Position Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-position average and 30% to the weakest listed position.

Inputs

Average Position Score: 100.0
Coverage Units: C: 3.0, Pf: 3.0, Pg: 1.6, Sf: 3.1, Sg: 2.2
Weakest Position Score: 100.0

Supporting values

C: 100.0
Pf: 100.0
Pg: 100.0
Sf: 100.0
Sg: 100.0

Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no PG coverage credit was invented.

Skill Coverage

35% pillar weight

56.7

Skill Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-skill average and 30% to the weakest roster-wide capability.

Inputs

Average Skill Score: 68.2
Ranked Player Indexes: Defense: 85.8, 75.2, 72.3, 67.4, Playmaking: 82.6, 80.6, Rebounding: 99.2, 98.8, 89.5, Rim Protection: 98.1, 93.0, Shooting: 82.5, 78.8, 73.5, 70.5, 66.5
Team Raw Scores: Defense: 77.1, Playmaking: 81.9, Rebounding: 97.1, Rim Protection: 96.6, Shooting: 76.4
Weakest Skill Score: 29.9

Supporting values

Defense: 41.6
Playmaking: 29.9
Rebounding: 100.0
Rim Protection: 100.0
Shooting: 69.3

Functional Depth

25% pillar weight

fallback

94.0

Functional Depth combines position depth (35%), skill redundancy (40%), and skill concentration (25%) across the entire roster.

Inputs

Position Depth: Average Score: 86.3, Scores: C: 89.3, Pf: 75.0, Pg: 100.0, Sf: 76.2, Sg: 91.2, Units: C: 4.0, Pf: 5.1, Pg: 2.4, Sf: 4.9, Sg: 3.9, Weakest Score: 75.0
Skill Concentration: Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Top Player Shares: Defense: 0.4, Playmaking: 0.4, Rebounding: 0.3, Rim Protection: 0.3, Shooting: 0.4
Skill Redundancy: Average Score: 100.0, Qualified Index Threshold: 60.0, Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Units: Defense: 8.0, Playmaking: 4.6, Rebounding: 6.0, Rim Protection: 6.0, Shooting: 5.7, Weakest Score: 100.0

Supporting values

Position Depth: 82.9
Skill Concentration: 100.0
Skill Redundancy: 100.0

Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.

Contract Health

10% overall weight · starting 65.7

71.2

Contract Health combines four final-roster contract metrics; Long-Term Risk is strongest at 98.99612526510923, while Contract Optionality is weakest at 50.87276631609203.

Contract Value

35% pillar weight

fallback

60.7

Contract Value compares confidence-adjusted market salary with actual salary across 16 active contracts, weighted by discounted remaining salary.

Inputs

Active Contract Count: 16
Discounted Remaining Salary: 325303743.7

Supporting values

Best Contracts: Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 86.2, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.8
Players: Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Deficit: 141149, Projected Surplus: 627575, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17939209, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 17845109, Salary: 18080358, Score: 49.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -141149, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 19629620, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.1, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 55530, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 21592582, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.7, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 301013, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Confidence: 0.4, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 23039285, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.6, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: 271032, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17722222.0, Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Projected Deficit: 2413986, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 43.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 15308236, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9675603, Salary: 17722222, Score: 43.2, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -2413986, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 28500000, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Projected Deficit: 3463104, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 44.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13056229, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 8520763, Salary: 15000000, Score: 43.5, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1943771, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13480667, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9372839, Salary: 15000000, Score: 44.9, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1519333, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 38605270, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 73.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 27243444, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 35803266, Salary: 14403710, Score: 73.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 12839734, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28241568, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39383593, Salary: 15161800, Score: 73.2, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 13079768, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28605658, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 42022293, Salary: 15919890, Score: 72.2, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 12685768, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Deficit: 3799523, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 45.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 12561680, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9205601, Salary: 14000000, Score: 44.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1438320, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9822376, Salary: 14500000, Score: 45.6, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1262958, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 10480475, Salary: 15000000, Score: 46.3, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -1098245, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 13585523, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 29351287, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 28912815, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39256025, Salary: 13398000, Score: 76.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 15514815, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39727097, Salary: 14104000, Score: 74.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 13836472, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 15012078, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 68.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 20321082, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 37111939, Salary: 13125000, Score: 67.7, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 7196082, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19690996, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 40823133, Salary: 11875000, Score: 69.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 7815996, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 49583387, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 86.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 34464601, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 51294301, Salary: 9220050, Score: 86.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 25244551, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 54731019, Salary: 9659100, Score: 85.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 24338836, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 7519920, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 19539432, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 25980110, Confidence: 0.9, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 28151158, Salary: 6440678, Score: 87.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 19539432, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 11385365.9, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Projected Deficit: 1220166, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 44.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5200799, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 3677460, Salary: 5853659, Score: 44.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -652860, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 5579035, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 4045206, Salary: 6146341, Score: 45.4, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -567306, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10910975.6, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 7935348, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 70.4, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 9521256, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 12128922, Salary: 5609756, Score: 70.5, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 3911500, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 9914092, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 13341814, Salary: 5890244, Score: 70.3, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 4023848, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3506659.0, Name: Marvin Bagley III, Player Id: d329a966-cea0-49ba-a09c-3c1e7950b1ef, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1654579, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 66.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5161238, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9021922, Salary: 3506659, Score: 66.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1654579, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 538226, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 72.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 1217108, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: 2472970, Salary: 678882, Score: 72.1, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 538226, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Total Projected Deficit: 11037928
Total Projected Surplus: 162847182
Worst Contracts: Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 43.2, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 44.2, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 44.9

Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.

Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.

Long Term Risk

30% pillar weight

fallback

99.0

Long-Term Risk measures 2818684.5 weighted dollars of projected overpayment across 4 frozen future salary-cap seasons.

Inputs

Active Contract Count: 16
Evaluated Seasons: 2027-28, 2028-29, 2029-30, 2030-31
Future Risk Burden: 0.0
Projected Cap Denominator: 842341500

Supporting values

At Risk Dollars: 2818684.5
Players: Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 19526786, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 20973214, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 22419642, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Projected Overpayment: 1519333, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13480667, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1519333, Salary: 15000000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 28241568, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 15161800, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28605658, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 15919890, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1262958.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1262958, Salary: 14500000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 988420.5, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 1098245, Salary: 15000000, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 14104000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19690996, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 11875000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9659100, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 567306.0, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Projected Overpayment: 567306, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5579035, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 567306.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 567306, Salary: 6146341, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 9914092, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 5890244, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Marvin Bagley III, Player Id: d329a966-cea0-49ba-a09c-3c1e7950b1ef, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Riskiest Season: Exposure: 1830264.0, Season: 2027-28
Seasons: 2027-28: 1830264.0, 2028-29: 988420.5, 2029-30: 0.0, 2030-31: 0
Top Exposure Players: Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203, Exposure: 567306.0, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Projected Overpayment: 567306

Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.

Contract Mobility

20% pillar weight

fallback

63.1

Contract Mobility blends marketability, salary-matching utility, term, and stored trade restrictions across 16 active contracts, including the least-mobile 25% of guaranteed remaining salary.

Inputs

Active Contract Count: 16
Current Season: 2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary: 325303743.7
Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 328641552.0
Low Mobility Exposure: 53.9
Salary Cap: 165000000
Weighted Mobility Average: 67.1

Supporting values

Least Movable: Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Marketability: 45.6, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 62.1, Term Utility: 65.0, Marketability: 44.9, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.2, Term Utility: 85.0
Most Movable: Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 85.0, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0
Players: Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 81000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 4, Marketability: 50.2, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 62.6, Term Utility: 50.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17722222.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 17722222.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 43.2, Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 65.9, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 28500000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 15000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 44.2, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 66.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 45485400, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 73.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 70.7, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 43500000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 45.6, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 62.1, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 85.0, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 27502000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Restrictions: player_option, no_trade_clause, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 25000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 68.7, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 76.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 18879150.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 86.2, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 78.3, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 7519920.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 11385365.9, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 12000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 44.9, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.2, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10910975.6, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 11500000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 70.4, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3506659.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3506659.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 66.0, Name: Marvin Bagley III, Player Id: d329a966-cea0-49ba-a09c-3c1e7950b1ef, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 72.1, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true
Salary Below 40: 26091600
Useful Mid Sized Contracts: 14

Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.

Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.

Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.

Contract Optionality

15% pillar weight

50.9

Contract Optionality scores future team control across 16 active contracts, weighted by future salary within each contract and discounted remaining salary across the roster.

Inputs

Active Contract Count: 16
Current Season: 2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary: 325303743.7

Supporting values

Expiring Contract Count: 6
Least Optional: Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 34.6
Most Optional: Expiring?: false, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0
Players: Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17722222.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Luguentz Dort, Player Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 28500000, Expiring?: false, Name: Isaiah Stewart, Player Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15000000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 34.6, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15161800, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15919890, Score: 20.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Expiring?: false, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14500000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15000000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14104000, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Expiring?: false, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 11875000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9659100, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Expiring?: false, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 11385365.9, Expiring?: false, Name: Spencer Jones, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 6146341, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10910975.6, Expiring?: false, Name: Precious Achiuwa, Player Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 5890244, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3506659.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Marvin Bagley III, Player Id: d329a966-cea0-49ba-a09c-3c1e7950b1ef, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons:

Cap Flexibility

10% overall weight · starting 82.1

86.8

Cap & Flexibility combines four cap-state metrics; Tax & Apron Exposure is strongest at 100.0, while Current Cap Position is weakest at 65.97376242424242.

Current Cap Position

20% pillar weight

66.0

Current Cap Position scores the below-cap zone using its engine-calculated threshold cushion relative to the season's salary cap.

Inputs

Salary Cap: 165000000

Supporting values

Cap Room: 4928354
Financial Zone: below_cap
First Apron Cushion: 48928354
Second Apron Cushion: 61928354
Second Apron Excess: 0
Tax Cushion: 43076949

Tax Apron Exposure

30% pillar weight

100.0

Tax & Apron Exposure scores the below-cap zone using the projected engine tax bill and recorded repeater assumption.

Inputs

Financial Zone: below_cap
Projected Tax Bill: 0
Salary Cap: 165000000
Tax Bill Ratio: 0.0

Supporting values

First Apron Cushion: 48928354
Repeater: Source: default, Value: false
Second Apron Cushion: 61928354
Tax Cushion: 43076949
Taxpayer: false

Future Flexibility

30% pillar weight

98.4

Future Flexibility scores unavoidable commitments and dead money over the next three cap-state seasons, weighted 50/30/20.

Inputs

Future Season Count: 3

Supporting values

Seasons: Commitment Ratio: 0.5, Commitment Score: 96.5, Dead Money: 268031, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 98.5, Effective Committed Salary: 97131302, Salary Cap: 181500000, Score: 96.9, Season: 2027-28, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.3, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 268031, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 98.7, Effective Committed Salary: 52161135, Salary Cap: 199650000, Score: 99.7, Season: 2028-29, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.1, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 22419642, Salary Cap: 219615000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2029-30, Threshold Source: official

Transaction Flexibility

20% pillar weight

70.6

Transaction Flexibility combines the cap state's usable signing, trade, trade-exception, and roster pathways at AVC's 30/40/20/10 weights.

Inputs

As Of Date: 2026-08-17
Largest Usable Signing Mechanism: Amount: 9425000, Description: Available to under-cap / room teams, Hard Cap Amount: —, Max Years: 2, Name: Room Exception, Remaining: 9425000, Triggers Hard Cap: false, Type: room, Usable: true
Non Taxpayer Mle: 15139000

Supporting values

Roster Maneuverability: 97.0
Signing Tools: 69.8
Trade Exception Capacity: 0.0
Trade Tools: 100.0

Asset Management

5% overall weight · starting 74.2

82.3

Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded until PTV is calibrated; the 35/20/20 inventory weights are renormalized to 46.67/26.67/26.67. Asset Optionality is strongest at 88.39999999999999, while Pick Quality is weakest at 75.45172413793104.

Draft Capital Value

47% pillar weight

82.8

Draft Capital Value percentiles 472.324057771082 total DAV across 17 controlled assets against the frozen league inventory.

Inputs

Asset Count: 17
Benchmark: 113.7, 149.6, 150.2, 156.9, 184.6, 206.1, 217.1, 219.4, 226.9, 230.2, 249.7, 263.1, 266.9, 322.5, 328.3, 351.7, 353.8, 367.9, 377.6, 382.8, 397.1, 404.8, 411.6, 425.8, 472.3, 480.8, 489.2, 559.2, 581.0, 695.3
Total Dav: 472.3
Window: First Year: 2027, Last Year: 2033

Supporting values

Assets: Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 11.4, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 10.4, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 64b8856a-656e-4cef-9f2e-a9becbfee6dc, Swap Note: CHA more favorable of NOP/POR 2nds; POR keeps less favorable but conveys it to HOU only at 56-60 [CHA-PHI-POR-NYK 2/9/2023; BOS-HOU 2/6/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: f5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9, Part Id: 50649b7d-ba68-48d7-9c65-079188f2719e, Pick Id: 9147fa1a-7bc7-437f-991e-182933f9545e, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 46.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 46.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: ab60a403-1100-418f-b5c2-125a83c74cda, Pick Id: 356b0b6b-4ce4-4fe7-a9dd-d4479d032f37, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 12.1, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 12.1, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 1cf1881a-73a2-400e-aafa-e6c4fb5f7667, Part Id: 067b1c15-0ba5-4428-99fe-b6c0587df4e3, Pick Id: 363bc61a-0156-49a4-8c6f-f9d0c1b3cd50, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 10.1, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 10.1, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 633b6e86-d9cb-489d-a942-53f82dfb8ec0, Pick Id: fd577648-14bf-4247-9eca-47df8a1bb917, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 82.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 3, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 8.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.3, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: b74e31a3-fe8a-4d69-984d-09875b09d454, Swap Note: IND more favorable of IND/WAS; POR less [NYK-POR 6/27/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 40.3, Dav: 12.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 52.6, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 126.0, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 754122546036593031, 13190736261275976963, 15001587571146789003, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Variance: 179.8, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ad881f83-111d-48d6-afa8-644ad8d7a419, Pick Id: 0ce785d7-8f6e-4ece-ba09-31e8fe0cb35b, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: e0197ce0-a032-40d4-89de-ac43d023a22c, Pick Id: 5448ff57-161d-4f33-817a-131b89fdeebc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 2afd0f58-c0b3-4551-99f1-b384e2cd2d84, Pick Id: cc9aee92-a54f-46f5-a73c-ad6fe30858c2, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 30.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.3, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 30295ced-60e7-4b4d-8ff9-c8d8247b1edd, Pick Id: 8d2ff739-1321-4980-ac5b-be6497dc653e, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033
By Origin Team: 1cf1881a-73a2-400e-aafa-e6c4fb5f7667: 12.1, B70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c: 186.9, C2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5: 46.5, F5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9: 7.5, Swap Pool: 219.3
By Year: 2027: 73.3, 2028: 129.8, 2029: 95.2, 2030: 52.6, 2031: 44.1, 2032: 40.4, 2033: 37.0
First Round Dav: 403.4
Second Round Dav: 68.9
Swap Dav: 75.2

Pick Quality

27% pillar weight

75.5

Pick Quality combines frozen-league percentiles for the best asset and top three with 3.4499999999999997 Premium Asset Units.

Inputs

Best Asset Raw: 61.1
Premium Asset Units: 3.4
Top Three Raw: 58.7

Supporting values

Best Asset: Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028
Best Asset Quality: 69.0
Premium Asset Inventory: 94.5
Top Three Assets: Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027
Top Three Quality: 72.4

Asset Optionality

27% pillar weight

88.4

Asset Optionality combines 4 immediately tradable firsts, 5 clean first-round years, and normalized encumbrance control.

Inputs

Clean First Round Years: 5
Encumbrances: Complex Chain: false, Obligations: Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, Kind: swap_owed, Pick Id: 01e22e2a-2d82-4d70-90f3-5e67d88ef753, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2029, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 51f8fc77-7d31-45c0-b6d3-b1af53f6c773, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2029, Affected Years: 2030, Counterparties: 40b9686c-5db4-4c8f-a8b0-118d82bd0e91, cc7d01c5-c03a-410f-adf3-82880341ee04, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 70e3b441-2e25-48c6-a603-d54f986f082e, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2030, Owed First Years: , Owed Second Years: 2029, 2030, Owed Swaps: 0, Rollover Risk Years:
Tradable First Capacity: 4

Supporting values

Calendar Flexibility: 82.0
Capacity: Assets: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: ab60a403-1100-418f-b5c2-125a83c74cda, Pick Id: 356b0b6b-4ce4-4fe7-a9dd-d4479d032f37, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2031, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2033, Candidates: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: ab60a403-1100-418f-b5c2-125a83c74cda, Pick Id: 356b0b6b-4ce4-4fe7-a9dd-d4479d032f37, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2031, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: e0197ce0-a032-40d4-89de-ac43d023a22c, Pick Id: 5448ff57-161d-4f33-817a-131b89fdeebc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2033, Capacity: 4, Conditional: , Frozen: , Partial Rights: , Reserved Years: 2032, Swap Rights: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 37e47908-7877-4553-8af7-c985f244e10f, Pick Id: 70bd8d2c-0400-4dd5-8d80-3440f294f230, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: fb1c97a1-e429-4b6d-b395-7934082cf554, Pick Id: eb1f41a8-e555-4a95-a9aa-2bdcd7d466c0, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 3, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: c9cdbaa8-4ab4-42ed-a380-c2d30ee2058c, Part Id: ced74775-7fdb-4a66-b8f0-c4795b7b5f0a, Pick Id: 391bc298-d440-45b8-aeae-c833def1efbc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: f3609a24-1cbd-466f-bbc7-72bd2100b669, Pick Id: e73f1e88-be08-4748-852f-4a89860edd83, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 325100d6-9b0b-4618-97ef-2522af724a09, Pick Id: ec1b29de-eca3-4af0-a52d-9ba07b349cba, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2030, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1
Clean Years: Count: 5, Detail: 2027: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2028: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 1, 2029: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 2, 2030: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 1, 2031: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2032: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2033: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1, Years: 2027, 2028, 2031, 2032, 2033
Encumbrance Control: 94.0
Tradable First Capacity: 90.0

Asset Exchange Value

0% pillar weight

fallback

50.0

Asset Exchange Value scored 8 qualifying transactions provisionally because player valuation calibration or frozen component evidence is incomplete.

Inputs

Total Scale: 200.0
Transaction Count: 8

Supporting values

Transactions: Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: a0cf6743-ac49-42b0-85e2-89d2005bc41f, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 43c116e1-d2af-427a-aea1-7377d0c530c0, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 61f261b1-dfe7-4bf2-b536-15bb18e81f2c, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 2b5afbc7-addd-4b59-8cc3-974f26cd2397, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 1ada909c-e8dc-4ae3-912a-4a7c810f0430, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: f651d1e3-cf3e-417f-b750-8507910f4c3a, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e80f4d23-4f45-4dbf-a1ef-7584f6e6cc72, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: d319f301-0920-4ce4-ac68-0f165dbc8ca4, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: c2926a00-6461-47de-9158-598cc9ab68ad, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 96f18a5c-5a7d-4cd8-a70b-44f3a127892b, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 32049971-ac35-4a5e-af9b-52b8407480d7, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 2b5afbc7-addd-4b59-8cc3-974f26cd2397, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 45683e46-6b1f-458b-95e5-97fd0170d46e, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 85e4bea5-2d67-4011-b542-89f85bcaa29c, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 96f18a5c-5a7d-4cd8-a70b-44f3a127892b, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: e83bcbcf-24fb-4516-9ad6-3d02bf00e00c, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: d329a966-cea0-49ba-a09c-3c1e7950b1ef, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: d745b765-fc16-425d-85e4-d4783294ddb7, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 6e7fe03d-29a3-4a07-8015-cae9ed21b73f, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 43c116e1-d2af-427a-aea1-7377d0c530c0, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e80f4d23-4f45-4dbf-a1ef-7584f6e6cc72, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: d243ac86-a4bb-46a2-99c7-8418eb81b646, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e3242d53-0830-41bb-9072-f05a1f6a2326, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 7878f0a6-5ecd-434a-a7c0-b5dc0bf62dc7, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: f4b84fb6-355d-4d74-9c91-e2a76f4abbd9, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: ab8d835a-3f65-4e13-8320-d4398837f7a0, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0

Fallback: Player Transaction Value is provisional; Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded from the pillar score.

Timeline Alignment

20% overall weight · starting 76.2

88.7

Timeline Alignment applies Championship Push's targets; Core Age Fit is strongest and Prime Window Alignment is weakest.

Core Age Fit

30% pillar weight

reduced confidence

95.5

Core players are scored against Championship Push's ideal age range.

Inputs

Mandate: championship_push

Supporting values

Ideal Core Age: Max: 31, Min: 25
Penalty Above: 7
Penalty Below: 8
Players: Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Score: 76.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Score: 100.0, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Score: 100.0, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Score: 100.0, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Score: 100.0

Prime Window Alignment

25% pillar weight

reduced confidence

82.4

Prime Window Alignment combines mandate timing and core synchronization.

Inputs

Mandate: championship_push
Prime Midpoint: 27.5

Supporting values

Core Synchronization: 88.4
Players: Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Prime Timing Offset: -1.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Prime Timing Offset: 5.5, Window Timing Score: 32.5, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Prime Timing Offset: 2.5, Window Timing Score: 77.5, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Prime Timing Offset: 2.5, Window Timing Score: 77.5, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Prime Timing Offset: 1.5, Window Timing Score: 92.5
Prime Offset Range: Max: 1.0, Min: -2.0
Prime Timing Spread: 2.3
Window Timing: 79.2

Core Continuity

25% pillar weight

reduced confidence

91.7

Core Continuity measures franchise control through the 2-season mandate window.

Inputs

Continuity Horizon: 2
Mandate: championship_push

Supporting values

Overall Core Control: 93.2
Players: Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 67.5, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9220050, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 9220050, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 0.4, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9659100, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: player, Reason: player option — the player holds the decision, Salary: 9659100, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: player_option, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 76.0, Continuity Score: 97.5, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 7519920, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 7519920, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9550298, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 9550298, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 14403710, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 14403710, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 15161800, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 15161800, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 13125000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 13125000, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 11875000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 11875000, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.7, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 5853659, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 5853659, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 6146341, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 6146341, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: dc14ecbc-8ef3-4a01-a225-39982e67df56, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.6, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 18080358, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 18080358, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 19526786, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 19526786, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1
Top End Control: 88.2

Development Environment

20% pillar weight

reduced confidence

82.5

Development Environment balances mandate-appropriate youth minutes, veterans, and meaningful young roles.

Inputs

Mandate: championship_push
Rotation Minutes: 240

Supporting values

Developmental Role Distribution: 100.0
Established Veteran Count: 2
Meaningful Young Role Count: 2
Targets: Veteran Count: Max: 8, Min: 4, Young Minute Share: Max: 0.2, Min: 0.1, Young Roles: Max: 3, Min: 1
Veteran Infrastructure: 50.0
Young Minute Share: 0.2
Young Player Opportunity: 100.0
Young Rotation Minutes: 48

Tom Dundon's Dream Team — GM Grade

Front-office assessment

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