2026-27 The league's active season — trades, cap positions, and scenarios are computed against it.
Portland Trail Blazers

Tom Dundon's Dream Team — GM Grade

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D-

AVC GM Grade

62/100

Championship Push mandate

Front-office assessment

Against the Championship Push mandate, asset management is the clearest gain, while competitive strength is the main cost. 2 material plausibility concerns also limit confidence in the result.

What the mandate rewards

The scenario adds future assets, but that tradeoff works against a win-now mandate because present strength declined.

Positive takeaways

  • Asset Management: The organization finishes with a stronger collection of player and draft assets.
  • Timeline Alignment: The roster now fits the mandate's competitive window more closely.
  • Cap Flexibility: The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules.

Areas for improvement

  • Competitive Strength: The roster gives up some immediate on-court strength.
  • Roster Construction: The roster is less complete or balanced than the inherited group.
  • Improve transaction realism so the scenario is supportable against the frozen market evidence.

Plausibility review

Resolve these realism concerns before relying on the projected outcome.

2 material concerns

  • Trade

    Trade with DET

    Unlikely
    Teams
    DET
    Assets
    Duncan Robinson, Shaedon Sharpe, 2030 Rnd 1 (Top-11 protected), Swap: less favorable of NOP/POR 2027 2nd, 2028 Rnd 2
    Principal reason
    Asset Value Outlier

    This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped.

  • Trade

    Trade with NOP

    Unlikely
    Teams
    NOP
    Assets
    Saddiq Bey, Jaron Pierre Jr., Deni Avdija, 2028 Rnd 1 (Top-5 protected), 2032 Rnd 1
    Principal reason
    Asset Value Outlier

    This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped.

Pillar scores

See how the final roster changed across the six parts of the GM grade.

Competitive Strength
Declined · Δ -5.9
32.4

The roster gives up some immediate on-court strength. The clearest supporting decline is Starting Five. Competitive Strength moved -5.9 points from the inherited state.

Roster Construction
Declined · Δ -4.9
67.5

The roster is less complete or balanced than the inherited group. The clearest supporting decline is Position Coverage. Roster Construction moved -4.9 points from the inherited state.

Contract Health
Improved · Δ +2.5
68.2

The contract structure is healthier and carries less value risk. The clearest supporting improvement is Contract Optionality. Contract Health moved +2.5 points from the inherited state.

Cap Flexibility
Improved · Δ +3.2
85.3

The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules. The clearest supporting improvement is Current Cap Position. Cap Flexibility moved +3.2 points from the inherited state.

Asset Management
Improved · Δ +11.6
85.8

The organization finishes with a stronger collection of player and draft assets. The clearest supporting improvement is Draft Capital Value. Asset Management moved +11.6 points from the inherited state. Relevant recorded context: Trade with DET: sent Shaedon Sharpe (DET), Swap: less favorable of NOP/POR 2027 2nd (DET), and 2028 Rnd 2 (DET); received Duncan Robinson (DET) and 2030 Rnd 1 (Top-11 protected) (DET). Trade with NOP: sent Deni Avdija (NOP); received Saddiq Bey (NOP), Jaron Pierre Jr. (NOP), 2028 Rnd 1 (Top-5 protected) (NOP), and 2032 Rnd 1 (NOP).

Timeline Alignment
Improved · Δ +9.9
86.1

The roster now fits the mandate's competitive window more closely. The clearest supporting improvement is Prime Window Alignment. Timeline Alignment moved +9.9 points from the inherited state.

Advanced details

Weights, metric calculations, supporting values, fallbacks, and progression methodology

For expert review

Score calculation

Each pillar score is multiplied by its mandate weight to produce the base score. Plausibility penalties and caps are then applied to produce the authoritative final grade.

Starting weighted score
61.6
Base score
61.7
Plausibility penalty
0.0
Final score
61.7

Scenario Progression

applied

Improvement is expected; regression always counts negatively.

Canonical Final GM Grade

61.7

Authoritative score

1 · Inherited state

61.6

Comparable State Score

2 · Final state

61.2

Δ -0.4 vs. inherited

3 · Canonical grade

61.7

Remains authoritative

4 · Bounded adjustment

-1.5

Caps +3.0 / −4.0

5 · Proposed grade

60.2

Shadow only

The state comparison neutralizes Asset Exchange Value (AEV) to 50 and excludes transaction plausibility on both sides. AEV and plausibility still remain part of the canonical Final GM Grade where applicable.

Pillar and metric calculations

Expand a pillar and metric to inspect its frozen calculation inputs.

Competitive Strength
35% overall weight · starting 38.3
32.4

Competitive Strength combines four frozen-rotation metrics; Two-Way Balance is strongest at 38.87243585928349, while Star Power is weakest at 26.947664877329615.

Star Power
30% pillar weight
26.9

The top three Star Power contributions come from Donovan Clingan, Duncan Robinson, Robert Williams III.

Inputs
Benchmark
-0.5, -0.4, -0.1, 0.5, 0.9, 1.2, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, 2.5, 2.9, 3.1, 3.2, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 4.0, 4.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7, 4.8, 5.8, 5.8, 7.3
Eligible Player Count
11
Raw
1.9
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
30
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: 2.3, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 1.7, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9, Adjusted Epm: 1.2, Assigned Minutes: 18, Contribution: 0.7, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.6
Starting Five
25% pillar weight
32.7

Starting Five Quality combines equal contributions from Duncan Robinson, Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Damian Lillard, Ja Morant.

Inputs
Benchmark
-8.7, -7.3, -4.2, -1.0, -0.7, -0.6, -0.5, 0.0, 0.7, 1.9, 5.1, 5.8, 6.0, 6.4, 6.5, 7.0, 7.2, 7.2, 7.7, 9.0, 9.7, 9.9, 11.4, 11.5, 12.2, 12.2, 12.5, 13.2, 13.4, 22.3
Designated Starter Count
5
Raw
3.5
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
28
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 1.8, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: 2.4, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 0.7, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: -1.4, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9, Adjusted Epm: -0.0, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: -0.0, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Fallback: Damian Lillard's Adjusted EPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Rotation Quality
30% pillar weight
34.3

Rotation Quality averages fatigue-adjusted impact across 11 rotation players and 240 assigned minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Benchmark
-1.9, -1.7, -1.0, -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.8, -0.7, -0.7, -0.7, 0.3, 0.3, 0.6, 0.6, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.3, 1.3, 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 2.3, 2.8
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Raw
0.3
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 50.1, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: 67.9, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.8, Assigned Minutes: 6, Contribution: -10.7, Effective Minutes: 6.0, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: -23.0, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.8, Assigned Minutes: 8, Contribution: -14.6, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.2, Assigned Minutes: 18, Contribution: 22.1, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 19.6, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: -39.0, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.6, Assigned Minutes: 24, Contribution: 13.4, Effective Minutes: 24.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.0, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: -1.2, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.1, Assigned Minutes: 18, Contribution: -19.8, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Replacement?: false
Fallback: Damian Lillard's Adjusted EPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Two Way Balance
15% pillar weight
38.9

Two-Way Balance weights the weaker offense side at 70% across 240 assigned rotation minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Defense Benchmark
-0.9, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4, -0.3, -0.0, 0.0, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.9
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Offense Benchmark
-1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.3, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6
Rotation Depm
0.0
Rotation Oepm
0.2
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Depm: -0.3, Adjusted Oepm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 28, Defensive Contribution: -8.4, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Duncan Robinson, Offensive Contribution: 58.5, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.7, Adjusted Oepm: 1.9, Assigned Minutes: 26, Defensive Contribution: 18.7, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Offensive Contribution: 49.1, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -1.5, Adjusted Oepm: -0.3, Assigned Minutes: 6, Defensive Contribution: -9.0, Effective Minutes: 6.0, Name: Jaden Hardy, Offensive Contribution: -1.7, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: -0.7, Assigned Minutes: 28, Defensive Contribution: -2.2, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Offensive Contribution: -20.8, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.6, Adjusted Oepm: -1.2, Assigned Minutes: 8, Defensive Contribution: -4.9, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Vit Krejci, Offensive Contribution: -9.7, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 2.0, Adjusted Oepm: -0.7, Assigned Minutes: 18, Defensive Contribution: 35.2, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Robert Williams III, Offensive Contribution: -13.0, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.9, Adjusted Oepm: -0.2, Assigned Minutes: 28, Defensive Contribution: 25.8, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Offensive Contribution: -6.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.8, Adjusted Oepm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 26, Defensive Contribution: -19.5, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Damian Lillard, Offensive Contribution: -19.5, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.9, Adjusted Oepm: 1.5, Assigned Minutes: 24, Defensive Contribution: -22.6, Effective Minutes: 24.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Offensive Contribution: 36.0, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.3, Adjusted Oepm: 0.2, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -8.7, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Ja Morant, Offensive Contribution: 7.4, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.4, Adjusted Oepm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 18, Defensive Contribution: 6.5, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Offensive Contribution: -26.3, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Replacement?: false
Defensive Strength
40.0
Offensive Strength
38.4
Fallback: Damian Lillard's Adjusted OEPM and DEPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Roster Construction
20% overall weight · starting 72.4
67.5

Roster Construction combines four full-roster metrics; Roster Completeness is strongest at 95.0, while Position Coverage is weakest at 45.35343107876098.

Roster Completeness
15% pillar weight
95.0

Roster Completeness scores 14 standard contracts and 3 of 3 available two-way slots.

Inputs
Maximum Standard Roster
15
Maximum Two Way Contracts
3
Minimum Standard Roster
14
Standard Count
14
Two Way Count
3
Supporting values
Standard Roster Score
90.0
Two Way Bonus
5.0
Position Coverage
25% pillar weight
45.4

Position Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-position average and 30% to the weakest listed position.

Inputs
Average Position Score
64.8
Coverage Units
C: 4.0, Pf: 0.0, Pg: 2.8, Sf: 5.7, Sg: 0.2
Weakest Position Score
0.0
Supporting values
C
100.0
Pf
0.0
Pg
100.0
Sf
100.0
Sg
24.0
Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no PG coverage credit was invented.
Fallback: Jaron Pierre Jr. has no season-minutes sample, so no SG coverage credit was invented.
Skill Coverage
35% pillar weight
53.3

Skill Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-skill average and 30% to the weakest roster-wide capability.

Inputs
Average Skill Score
67.9
Ranked Player Indexes
Defense: 88.3, 85.8, 75.2, 64.3, Playmaking: 85.4, 69.0, Rebounding: 99.2, 98.8, 82.6, Rim Protection: 98.1, 91.2, Shooting: 89.7, 77.0, 70.6, 70.5, 68.5
Team Raw Scores
Defense: 81.3, Playmaking: 79.7, Rebounding: 95.8, Rim Protection: 96.0, Shooting: 77.7
Weakest Skill Score
19.4
Supporting values
Defense
44.4
Playmaking
19.4
Rebounding
100.0
Rim Protection
100.0
Shooting
75.7
Functional Depth
25% pillar weight
92.8

Functional Depth combines position depth (35%), skill redundancy (40%), and skill concentration (25%) across the entire roster.

Inputs
Position Depth
Average Score: 91.8, Scores: C: 90.0, Pf: 96.1, Pg: 100.0, Sf: 75.0, Sg: 97.9, Units: C: 4.0, Pf: 3.4, Pg: 2.9, Sf: 5.8, Sg: 3.2, Weakest Score: 75.0
Skill Concentration
Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Top Player Shares: Defense: 0.4, Playmaking: 0.4, Rebounding: 0.4, Rim Protection: 0.4, Shooting: 0.4
Skill Redundancy
Average Score: 96.5, Qualified Index Threshold: 60.0, Scores: Defense: 97.7, Playmaking: 87.1, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 97.7, Shooting: 100.0, Units: Defense: 3.8, Playmaking: 2.8, Rebounding: 4.0, Rim Protection: 3.8, Shooting: 5.8, Weakest Score: 87.1
Supporting values
Position Depth
86.8
Skill Concentration
100.0
Skill Redundancy
93.7
Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Fallback: Jaron Pierre Jr. has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Contract Health
10% overall weight · starting 65.7
68.2

Contract Health combines four final-roster contract metrics; Long-Term Risk is strongest at 97.37440473964539, while Contract Optionality is weakest at 54.764472981950526.

Contract Value
35% pillar weight
54.8

Contract Value compares confidence-adjusted market salary with actual salary across 17 active contracts, weighted by discounted remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Discounted Remaining Salary
323382103.8
Supporting values
Best Contracts
Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.8, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 82564747.0, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Projected Deficit: 10701350, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 43.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 36585941, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 23564613, Salary: 42166510, Score: 43.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -5580569, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 39766149, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 25921074, Salary: 44886930, Score: 44.3, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -5120781, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Deficit: 141149, Projected Surplus: 627575, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17939209, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 17845109, Salary: 18080358, Score: 49.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -141149, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 19629620, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.1, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 55530, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 21592582, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.7, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 301013, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Confidence: 0.4, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 23039285, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.6, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: 271032, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29629056.8, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 12157126, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 64.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 21917109, Confidence: 0.9, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 22575348, Salary: 15992957, Score: 63.5, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 5924152, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21384196, Confidence: 0.8, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 22846252, Salary: 15151222, Score: 64.6, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 6232974, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Deficit: 3799523, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 45.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 12561680, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9205601, Salary: 14000000, Score: 44.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1438320, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9822376, Salary: 14500000, Score: 45.6, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1262958, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 10480475, Salary: 15000000, Score: 46.3, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -1098245, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 13585523, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 29351287, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 28912815, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39256025, Salary: 13398000, Score: 76.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 15514815, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39727097, Salary: 14104000, Score: 74.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 13836472, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 7519920, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 19539432, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 25980110, Confidence: 0.9, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 28151158, Salary: 6440678, Score: 87.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 19539432, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 11400000, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Projected Deficit: 1169787, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 45.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5330760, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 3769201, Salary: 6000000, Score: 44.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -669240, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 5499453, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 4146121, Salary: 6000000, Score: 45.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -500547, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10008654.0, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Projected Deficit: 1994802, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 40.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3447185, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 1688098, Salary: 4201080, Score: 41.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -753895, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 5211953, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 1856908, Salary: 6452860, Score: 40.4, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1240907, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3286399.0, Name: Matisse Thybulle, Player Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1151047, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 63.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 4437446, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 7123222, Salary: 3286399, Score: 63.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1151047, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2801346.0, Name: Micah Potter, Player Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1801109, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 69.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 4602455, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 8805044, Salary: 2801346, Score: 69.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1801109, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 5372520.5, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 2120778, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 63.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3743206, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 6252151, Salary: 2667944, Score: 64.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1075262, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 4050601, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 6877366, Salary: 3005085, Score: 62.9, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 1045516, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6872959.3, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 3521567, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 65.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3570414, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 6275504, Salary: 2411090, Score: 66.2, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1159324, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 3707732, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 6903054, Salary: 2525901, Score: 65.9, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 1181831, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 3916110, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 7593360, Salary: 2735698, Score: 65.1, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 1180412, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 538226, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 72.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 1217108, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: 2472970, Salary: 678882, Score: 72.1, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 538226, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Jaron Pierre Jr., Player Id: c6722390-a5eb-439b-888c-80086accfbc6, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary
Total Projected Deficit
17806611
Total Projected Surplus
70808147
Worst Contracts
Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 40.7, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 43.8, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 45.1
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Long Term Risk
30% pillar weight
97.4

Long-Term Risk measures 7372159.5 weighted dollars of projected overpayment across 4 frozen future salary-cap seasons.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Evaluated Seasons
2027-28, 2028-29, 2029-30, 2030-31
Future Risk Burden
0.0
Projected Cap Denominator
842341500
Supporting values
At Risk Dollars
7372159.5
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 5120781.0, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Projected Overpayment: 5120781, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 39766149, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 5120781.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 5120781, Salary: 44886930, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 19526786, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 20973214, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 22419642, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 21384196, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 15151222, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1262958.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1262958, Salary: 14500000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 988420.5, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 1098245, Salary: 15000000, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 14104000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Projected Overpayment: 500547, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5499453, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 500547, Salary: 6000000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Projected Overpayment: 1240907, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 5211953, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1240907, Salary: 6452860, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Matisse Thybulle, Player Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Micah Potter, Player Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 4050601, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 3005085, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3707732, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 2525901, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 3916110, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 2735698, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jaron Pierre Jr., Player Id: c6722390-a5eb-439b-888c-80086accfbc6, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Riskiest Season
Exposure: 6383739.0, Season: 2027-28
Seasons
2027-28: 6383739.0, 2028-29: 988420.5, 2029-30: 0.0, 2030-31: 0
Top Exposure Players
Exposure: 5120781.0, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Projected Overpayment: 5120781, Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Contract Mobility
20% pillar weight
57.9

Contract Mobility blends marketability, salary-matching utility, term, and stored trade restrictions across 17 active contracts, including the least-mobile 25% of guaranteed remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
323382103.8
Guaranteed Remaining Salary
302856135.0
Low Mobility Exposure
47.4
Salary Cap
165000000
Weighted Mobility Average
62.4
Supporting values
Least Movable
Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Marketability: 43.8, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 53.1, Term Utility: 85.0, Marketability: 40.7, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 61.9, Term Utility: 100.0
Most Movable
Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 85.0, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 82564747.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 87053440.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 43.8, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: significant_trade_bonus, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 53.1, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 81000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 4, Marketability: 50.2, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 62.6, Term Utility: 50.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29629056.8, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 17151222.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 64.0, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 76.2, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 43500000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 45.6, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 62.1, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 85.0, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 27502000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Restrictions: player_option, no_trade_clause, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 7519920.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 11400000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 6000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 45.1, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 64.6, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10008654.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 4201080.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 40.7, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 61.9, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3286399.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3286399.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 63.0, Name: Matisse Thybulle, Player Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 70.3, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2801346.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 69.6, Name: Micah Potter, Player Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 74.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 5372520.5, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 63.7, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 70.7, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6872959.3, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 4936991.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 65.8, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 69.7, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 72.1, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Jaron Pierre Jr., Player Id: c6722390-a5eb-439b-888c-80086accfbc6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false
Salary Below 40
26091600
Useful Mid Sized Contracts
9
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Contract Optionality
15% pillar weight
54.8

Contract Optionality scores future team control across 17 active contracts, weighted by future salary within each contract and discounted remaining salary across the roster.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
323382103.8
Supporting values
Expiring Contract Count
7
Least Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Matisse Thybulle, Player Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0
Most Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 82564747.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ja Morant, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44886930, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29629056.8, Expiring?: false, Name: Duncan Robinson, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15151222, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Expiring?: false, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14500000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15000000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 13585523.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Scoot Henderson, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14104000, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Expiring?: false, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 11400000, Expiring?: false, Name: Jaden Hardy, Player Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 6000000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10008654.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Dalton Knecht, Player Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 6452860, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 3286399.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Matisse Thybulle, Player Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2801346.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Micah Potter, Player Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 5372520.5, Expiring?: false, Name: Vit Krejci, Player Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 3005085, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6872959.3, Expiring?: false, Name: Ryan Kalkbrenner, Player Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 76.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2525901, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2735698, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jaron Pierre Jr., Player Id: c6722390-a5eb-439b-888c-80086accfbc6, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons:
Cap Flexibility
10% overall weight · starting 82.1
85.3

Cap & Flexibility combines four cap-state metrics; Tax & Apron Exposure is strongest at 100.0, while Current Cap Position is weakest at 65.07150181818182.

Current Cap Position
20% pillar weight
65.1

Current Cap Position scores the below-cap zone using its engine-calculated threshold cushion relative to the season's salary cap.

Inputs
Salary Cap
165000000
Supporting values
Cap Room
4183989
Financial Zone
below_cap
First Apron Cushion
48183989
Second Apron Cushion
61183989
Second Apron Excess
0
Tax Cushion
42415094
Tax Apron Exposure
30% pillar weight
100.0

Tax & Apron Exposure scores the below-cap zone using the projected engine tax bill and recorded repeater assumption.

Inputs
Financial Zone
below_cap
Projected Tax Bill
0
Salary Cap
165000000
Tax Bill Ratio
0.0
Supporting values
First Apron Cushion
48183989
Repeater
Source: default, Value: false
Second Apron Cushion
61183989
Tax Cushion
42415094
Taxpayer
false
Future Flexibility
30% pillar weight
93.7

Future Flexibility scores unavoidable commitments and dead money over the next three cap-state seasons, weighted 50/30/20.

Inputs
Future Season Count
3
Supporting values
Seasons
Commitment Ratio: 0.6, Commitment Score: 88.0, Dead Money: 1815871, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 90.0, Effective Committed Salary: 112510710, Salary Cap: 181500000, Score: 88.4, Season: 2027-28, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.2, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 1815871, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 90.9, Effective Committed Salary: 37789085, Salary Cap: 199650000, Score: 98.2, Season: 2028-29, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.1, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 22419642, Salary Cap: 219615000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2029-30, Threshold Source: official
Transaction Flexibility
20% pillar weight
70.9

Transaction Flexibility combines the cap state's usable signing, trade, trade-exception, and roster pathways at AVC's 30/40/20/10 weights.

Inputs
As Of Date
2026-08-17
Largest Usable Signing Mechanism
Amount: 9425000, Description: Available to under-cap / room teams, Hard Cap Amount: —, Max Years: 3, Name: Room Exception, Remaining: 9425000, Triggers Hard Cap: false, Type: room, Usable: true
Non Taxpayer Mle
15139000
Supporting values
Roster Maneuverability
100.0
Signing Tools
69.8
Trade Exception Capacity
0.0
Trade Tools
100.0
Asset Management
5% overall weight · starting 74.2
85.8

Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded until PTV is calibrated; the 35/20/20 inventory weights are renormalized to 46.67/26.67/26.67. Draft Capital Value is strongest at 89.77008652135315, while Pick Quality is weakest at 75.45172413793104.

Draft Capital Value
47% pillar weight
89.8

Draft Capital Value percentiles 491.5142675923151 total DAV across 16 controlled assets against the frozen league inventory.

Inputs
Asset Count
16
Benchmark
113.7, 149.6, 150.2, 156.9, 184.6, 206.1, 217.1, 219.4, 226.9, 230.2, 249.7, 263.1, 266.9, 322.5, 328.3, 351.7, 353.8, 367.9, 377.6, 382.8, 397.1, 404.8, 411.6, 425.8, 472.3, 480.8, 489.2, 559.2, 581.0, 695.3
Total Dav
491.5
Window
First Year: 2027, Last Year: 2033
Supporting values
Assets
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: f5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9, Part Id: 50649b7d-ba68-48d7-9c65-079188f2719e, Pick Id: 9147fa1a-7bc7-437f-991e-182933f9545e, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 53.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 53.0, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 42a0a27c-965e-4448-a32b-ace747d7b823, Pick Id: f000e81f-0160-4b23-bf72-b5b2483f696f, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 12.1, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 12.1, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 1cf1881a-73a2-400e-aafa-e6c4fb5f7667, Part Id: 067b1c15-0ba5-4428-99fe-b6c0587df4e3, Pick Id: 363bc61a-0156-49a4-8c6f-f9d0c1b3cd50, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 82.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 3, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 8.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.3, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: b74e31a3-fe8a-4d69-984d-09875b09d454, Swap Note: IND more favorable of IND/WAS; POR less [NYK-POR 6/27/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 40.3, Dav: 12.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 52.6, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 126.0, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 754122546036593031, 13190736261275976963, 15001587571146789003, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Variance: 179.8, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 35.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 35.9, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Part Id: 908984e1-50db-46f1-9c1b-dfe57e26dc71, Pick Id: afd790c3-0b39-4625-a03b-fa0a126e1af2, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ad881f83-111d-48d6-afa8-644ad8d7a419, Pick Id: 0ce785d7-8f6e-4ece-ba09-31e8fe0cb35b, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.9, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 133e419e-a4f6-46fc-97ac-1d274c5724e5, Pick Id: bb7137cb-112e-4ebd-b972-5f4f7fa32813, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: e0197ce0-a032-40d4-89de-ac43d023a22c, Pick Id: 5448ff57-161d-4f33-817a-131b89fdeebc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 2afd0f58-c0b3-4551-99f1-b384e2cd2d84, Pick Id: cc9aee92-a54f-46f5-a73c-ad6fe30858c2, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 30.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.3, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 30295ced-60e7-4b4d-8ff9-c8d8247b1edd, Pick Id: 8d2ff739-1321-4980-ac5b-be6497dc653e, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033
By Origin Team
1cf1881a-73a2-400e-aafa-e6c4fb5f7667: 12.1, 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd: 35.9, 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c: 86.9, B70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c: 140.2, F5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9: 7.5, Swap Pool: 208.9
By Year
2027: 63.0, 2028: 126.2, 2029: 95.2, 2030: 88.4, 2031: 7.5, 2032: 74.3, 2033: 37.0
First Round Dav
443.1
Second Round Dav
48.4
Swap Dav
75.2
Pick Quality
27% pillar weight
75.5

Pick Quality combines frozen-league percentiles for the best asset and top three with 3.4499999999999997 Premium Asset Units.

Inputs
Best Asset Raw
61.1
Premium Asset Units
3.4
Top Three Raw
58.7
Supporting values
Best Asset
Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028
Best Asset Quality
69.0
Premium Asset Inventory
94.5
Top Three Assets
Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027
Top Three Quality
72.4
Asset Optionality
27% pillar weight
89.2

Asset Optionality combines 5 immediately tradable firsts, 5 clean first-round years, and normalized encumbrance control.

Inputs
Clean First Round Years
5
Encumbrances
Complex Chain: false, Obligations: Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 01e22e2a-2d82-4d70-90f3-5e67d88ef753, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Kind: owed, Pick Id: fd577648-14bf-4247-9eca-47df8a1bb917, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2029, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 51f8fc77-7d31-45c0-b6d3-b1af53f6c773, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2029, Affected Years: 2030, Counterparties: 40b9686c-5db4-4c8f-a8b0-118d82bd0e91, cc7d01c5-c03a-410f-adf3-82880341ee04, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 70e3b441-2e25-48c6-a603-d54f986f082e, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2030, Affected Years: 2031, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2031, Owed First Years: 2031, Owed Second Years: 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, Owed Swaps: 0, Rollover Risk Years:
Tradable First Capacity
5
Supporting values
Calendar Flexibility
82.0
Capacity
Assets: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 42a0a27c-965e-4448-a32b-ace747d7b823, Pick Id: f000e81f-0160-4b23-bf72-b5b2483f696f, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Part Id: 908984e1-50db-46f1-9c1b-dfe57e26dc71, Pick Id: afd790c3-0b39-4625-a03b-fa0a126e1af2, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2030, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 133e419e-a4f6-46fc-97ac-1d274c5724e5, Pick Id: bb7137cb-112e-4ebd-b972-5f4f7fa32813, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2033, Candidates: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 42a0a27c-965e-4448-a32b-ace747d7b823, Pick Id: f000e81f-0160-4b23-bf72-b5b2483f696f, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Part Id: 908984e1-50db-46f1-9c1b-dfe57e26dc71, Pick Id: afd790c3-0b39-4625-a03b-fa0a126e1af2, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2030, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Part Id: 133e419e-a4f6-46fc-97ac-1d274c5724e5, Pick Id: bb7137cb-112e-4ebd-b972-5f4f7fa32813, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: e0197ce0-a032-40d4-89de-ac43d023a22c, Pick Id: 5448ff57-161d-4f33-817a-131b89fdeebc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2033, Capacity: 5, Conditional: , Frozen: , Partial Rights: , Reserved Years: 2032, Swap Rights: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 37e47908-7877-4553-8af7-c985f244e10f, Pick Id: 70bd8d2c-0400-4dd5-8d80-3440f294f230, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: fb1c97a1-e429-4b6d-b395-7934082cf554, Pick Id: eb1f41a8-e555-4a95-a9aa-2bdcd7d466c0, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 3, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: c9cdbaa8-4ab4-42ed-a380-c2d30ee2058c, Part Id: ced74775-7fdb-4a66-b8f0-c4795b7b5f0a, Pick Id: 391bc298-d440-45b8-aeae-c833def1efbc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: f3609a24-1cbd-466f-bbc7-72bd2100b669, Pick Id: e73f1e88-be08-4748-852f-4a89860edd83, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 325100d6-9b0b-4618-97ef-2522af724a09, Pick Id: ec1b29de-eca3-4af0-a52d-9ba07b349cba, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2030, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1
Clean Years
Count: 5, Detail: 2027: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2028: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 1, 2029: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 2, 2030: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 1, 2031: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2032: Complete Firsts: 2, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2033: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1, Years: 2027, 2028, 2030, 2032, 2033
Encumbrance Control
73.0
Tradable First Capacity
100.0
Asset Exchange Value
0% pillar weight
37.6

Asset Exchange Value scored 4 qualifying transactions provisionally because player valuation calibration or frozen component evidence is incomplete.

Inputs
Total Scale
118.5
Transaction Count
4
Supporting values
Transactions
Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: ef631dbb-f2a5-41d2-b580-c516147af0fc, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: ecf7939e-defa-4873-9824-006daebe2515, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 1ada909c-e8dc-4ae3-912a-4a7c810f0430, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Type: draft_asset, Value: 36.6, Id: 041975f6-3d10-41dc-974f-8458ebab1a44, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -36.6, Outgoing Value: 36.6, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 0.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 908984e1-50db-46f1-9c1b-dfe57e26dc71, Type: draft_asset, Value: 35.9, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e3242d53-0830-41bb-9072-f05a1f6a2326, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: swap_outcome, 64b8856a-656e-4cef-9f2e-a9becbfee6dc, 2, Type: draft_asset, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 633b6e86-d9cb-489d-a942-53f82dfb8ec0, Type: draft_asset, Value: 10.1, Id: b9d9aaf5-d56c-442b-9af8-d28dc0045bd7, Incoming Value: 35.9, Net Advantage: 25.8, Outgoing Value: 10.1, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 65.0, Uncapped Score: 100.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: c6722390-a5eb-439b-888c-80086accfbc6, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 42a0a27c-965e-4448-a32b-ace747d7b823, Type: draft_asset, Value: 53.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 133e419e-a4f6-46fc-97ac-1d274c5724e5, Type: draft_asset, Value: 33.9, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 97eddd0c-0dbd-4780-859d-a89a51bf9538, Incoming Value: 86.9, Net Advantage: 86.9, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 43.5, Score: 65.0, Uncapped Score: 100.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: ca19c7e2-1140-41fc-8650-87c1d950868f, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 45280a90-0bfd-4269-bd8e-b8912b6a2d19, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 03eb781b-2674-462f-bfc2-7e62c55e0bfe, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: ef631dbb-f2a5-41d2-b580-c516147af0fc, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, ab60a403-1100-418f-b5c2-125a83c74cda, Type: draft_asset, Value: 46.5, Id: 91924a9c-2161-4e6f-bd7e-62b20b549c3a, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -46.5, Outgoing Value: 46.5, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 0.0
Fallback: Player Transaction Value is provisional; Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded from the pillar score.
Timeline Alignment
20% overall weight · starting 76.2
86.1

Timeline Alignment applies Championship Push's targets; Core Continuity is strongest and Prime Window Alignment is weakest.

Core Age Fit
30% pillar weight
91.0

Core players are scored against Championship Push's ideal age range.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Supporting values
Ideal Core Age
Max: 31, Min: 25
Penalty Above
7
Penalty Below
8
Players
Age: 32, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Score: 93.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Score: 76.0, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Score: 76.0
Prime Window Alignment
25% pillar weight
68.5

Prime Window Alignment combines mandate timing and core synchronization.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Prime Midpoint
27.5
Supporting values
Core Synchronization
65.6
Players
Age: 32, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Prime Timing Offset: -4.5, Window Timing Score: 62.5, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Prime Timing Offset: 5.5, Window Timing Score: 32.5, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Prime Timing Offset: 1.5, Window Timing Score: 92.5, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Prime Timing Offset: 5.5, Window Timing Score: 32.5
Prime Offset Range
Max: 1.0, Min: -2.0
Prime Timing Spread
3.5
Window Timing
70.0
Core Continuity
25% pillar weight
95.7

Core Continuity measures franchise control through the 2-season mandate window.

Inputs
Continuity Horizon
2
Mandate
championship_push
Supporting values
Overall Core Control
95.0
Players
Age Fit Score: 93.0, Continuity Score: 95.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 0.9, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 2000000, Guaranteed Pct: 0.1, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Partially guaranteed — 13% of salary, Salary: 15992957, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: partially_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 15151222, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 15151222, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2353b0ab-941b-4661-9e22-bd56a1a04762, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 76.0, Continuity Score: 97.5, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 7519920, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 7519920, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9550298, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 9550298, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 18080358, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 18080358, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 19526786, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 19526786, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 42166510, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 42166510, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44886930, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44886930, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 87.5, Core Importance Value: 0.7, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 6440678, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 6440678, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: none, Control Factor: 0.8, Estimated: true, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Estimated restricted (D-17): 1 years of service at free agency (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2027-28, Source: free_agency, Status: rfa_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 76.0, Continuity Score: 87.5, Core Importance Value: 0.7, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 13585523, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 13585523, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: full, Control Factor: 0.8, Estimated: true, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Estimated restricted (D-17): expiring rookie-scale contract (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2027-28, Source: free_agency, Status: rfa_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1
Top End Control
97.5
Fallback: Control status for 2027-28 uses the documented RFA estimate.
Fallback: Control status for 2027-28 uses the documented RFA estimate.
Development Environment
20% pillar weight
88.8

Development Environment balances mandate-appropriate youth minutes, veterans, and meaningful young roles.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Rotation Minutes
240
Supporting values
Developmental Role Distribution
100.0
Established Veteran Count
4
Meaningful Young Role Count
3
Targets
Veteran Count: Max: 8, Min: 4, Young Minute Share: Max: 0.2, Min: 0.1, Young Roles: Max: 3, Min: 1
Veteran Infrastructure
100.0
Young Minute Share
0.3
Young Player Opportunity
75.0
Young Rotation Minutes
78
View final roster

See the Portland Trail Blazers cap sheet this grade was calculated from.

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