2026-27 The league's active season — trades, cap positions, and scenarios are computed against it.
Portland Trail Blazers

Tom Dundon's Dream Team — GM Grade

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B-

AVC GM Grade

81/100

Championship Push mandate

Front-office assessment

Against the Championship Push mandate, competitive strength is the clearest gain, while asset management is the main cost. One material plausibility concern also limits confidence in the result.

What the mandate rewards

This win-now mandate rewards the added present strength, but the spent future assets still reduce the margin for another move.

Positive takeaways

  • Competitive Strength: The roster projects to provide more immediate on-court strength.
  • Roster Construction: The roster has a better mix of coverage, skills, and usable depth.
  • Timeline Alignment: The roster now fits the mandate's competitive window more closely.

Areas for improvement

  • Asset Management: The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value.
  • Improve transaction realism so the scenario is supportable against the frozen market evidence.

Plausibility review

Resolve these realism concerns before relying on the projected outcome.

1 material concern

  • Trade

    Trade with MIL, MEM

    Unlikely
    Teams
    MIL, MEM
    Assets
    Kevin Porter Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Jrue Holiday, Yang Hansen, 2029 Rnd 2, 2029 Rnd 2, 2033 Rnd 2
    Principal reason
    Asset Value Outlier

    This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped.

Pillar scores

See how the final roster changed across the six parts of the GM grade.

Competitive Strength
Improved · Δ +33.8
72.1

The roster projects to provide more immediate on-court strength. The clearest supporting improvement is Rotation Quality. Competitive Strength moved +33.8 points from the inherited state.

Roster Construction
Improved · Δ +18.9
91.3

The roster has a better mix of coverage, skills, and usable depth. The clearest supporting improvement is Position Coverage. Roster Construction moved +18.9 points from the inherited state.

Contract Health
Improved · Δ +6.1
71.8

The contract structure is healthier and carries less value risk. The clearest supporting improvement is Contract Value. Contract Health moved +6.1 points from the inherited state.

Cap Flexibility
Improved · Δ +7.5
89.6

The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules. The clearest supporting improvement is Current Cap Position. Cap Flexibility moved +7.5 points from the inherited state.

Asset Management
Declined · Δ -16.8
57.4

The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value. The clearest supporting decline is Asset Optionality. Asset Management moved -16.8 points from the inherited state. Relevant recorded context: Trade with MEM, CHI: sent Ja Morant (CHI) and 2028 Rnd 1 (CHI); received Ty Jerome (MEM), Tre Jones (CHI), and Jalen Smith (CHI). Trade with NOP: sent Shaedon Sharpe (NOP), 2028 Rnd 2 (NOP), and 2028 Rnd 2 (NOP); received Saddiq Bey (NOP) and Herb Jones (NOP).

Timeline Alignment
Improved · Δ +16.3
92.6

The roster now fits the mandate's competitive window more closely. The clearest supporting improvement is Prime Window Alignment. Timeline Alignment moved +16.3 points from the inherited state.

Advanced details

Weights, metric calculations, supporting values, fallbacks, and progression methodology

For expert review

Score calculation

Each pillar score is multiplied by its mandate weight to produce the base score. Plausibility penalties and caps are then applied to produce the authoritative final grade.

Starting weighted score
61.6
Base score
81.0
Plausibility penalty
0.0
Final score
81.0

Scenario Progression

applied

Improvement is expected; regression always counts negatively.

Canonical Final GM Grade

81.0

Authoritative score

1 · Inherited state

61.6

Comparable State Score

2 · Final state

80.9

Δ +19.3 vs. inherited

3 · Canonical grade

81.0

Remains authoritative

4 · Bounded adjustment

+2.4

Caps +3.0 / −4.0

5 · Proposed grade

83.4

Shadow only

The state comparison neutralizes Asset Exchange Value (AEV) to 50 and excludes transaction plausibility on both sides. AEV and plausibility still remain part of the canonical Final GM Grade where applicable.

Pillar and metric calculations

Expand a pillar and metric to inspect its frozen calculation inputs.

Competitive Strength
35% overall weight · starting 38.3
72.1

Competitive Strength combines four frozen-rotation metrics; Rotation Quality is strongest at 91.22596067636478, while Star Power is weakest at 51.70804719496975.

Star Power
30% pillar weight
51.7

The top three Star Power contributions come from Ty Jerome, Donovan Clingan, Nickeil Alexander-Walker.

Inputs
Benchmark
-0.5, -0.4, -0.1, 0.5, 0.9, 1.2, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, 2.5, 2.9, 3.1, 3.2, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 4.0, 4.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7, 4.8, 5.8, 5.8, 7.3
Eligible Player Count
10
Raw
2.9
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
30
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 3.3, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 2.6, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 2.3, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Starting Five
25% pillar weight
74.8

Starting Five Quality combines equal contributions from Donovan Clingan, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Toumani Camara, Ty Jerome, Deni Avdija.

Inputs
Benchmark
-8.7, -7.3, -4.2, -1.0, -0.7, -0.6, -0.5, 0.0, 0.7, 1.9, 5.1, 5.8, 6.0, 6.4, 6.5, 7.0, 7.2, 7.2, 7.7, 9.0, 9.7, 9.9, 11.4, 11.5, 12.2, 12.2, 12.5, 13.2, 13.4, 22.3
Designated Starter Count
5
Raw
10.9
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
28
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 2.6, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 2.3, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 0.7, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 3.3, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 2.1, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Rotation Quality
30% pillar weight
91.2

Rotation Quality averages fatigue-adjusted impact across 10 rotation players and 240 assigned minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Benchmark
-1.9, -1.7, -1.0, -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.8, -0.7, -0.7, -0.7, 0.3, 0.3, 0.6, 0.6, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.3, 1.3, 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 2.3, 2.8
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Raw
1.6
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 2.6, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 83.5, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 16, Contribution: -13.3, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.2, Assigned Minutes: 16, Contribution: 19.7, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.4, Assigned Minutes: 16, Contribution: 5.8, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 67.8, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 28, Contribution: 19.6, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.6, Assigned Minutes: 22, Contribution: 12.3, Effective Minutes: 22.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 104.9, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 62.1, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.5, Assigned Minutes: 18, Contribution: 26.5, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Replacement?: false
Two Way Balance
15% pillar weight
69.9

Two-Way Balance weights the weaker defense side at 70% across 240 assigned rotation minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Defense Benchmark
-0.9, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4, -0.3, -0.0, 0.0, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.9
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Offense Benchmark
-1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.3, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6
Rotation Depm
0.2
Rotation Oepm
1.4
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Depm: 0.7, Adjusted Oepm: 1.9, Assigned Minutes: 32, Defensive Contribution: 23.0, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Offensive Contribution: 60.5, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.9, Adjusted Oepm: -1.8, Assigned Minutes: 16, Defensive Contribution: 15.0, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Herb Jones, Offensive Contribution: -28.2, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 2.0, Adjusted Oepm: -0.7, Assigned Minutes: 16, Defensive Contribution: 31.2, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Robert Williams III, Offensive Contribution: -11.6, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 0.9, Assigned Minutes: 16, Defensive Contribution: -8.0, Effective Minutes: 16.0, Name: Tre Jones, Offensive Contribution: 13.9, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.2, Adjusted Oepm: 2.1, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: 5.7, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Offensive Contribution: 62.1, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.9, Adjusted Oepm: -0.2, Assigned Minutes: 28, Defensive Contribution: 25.8, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Offensive Contribution: -6.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.9, Adjusted Oepm: 1.5, Assigned Minutes: 22, Defensive Contribution: -20.7, Effective Minutes: 22.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Offensive Contribution: 33.0, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 3.8, Assigned Minutes: 32, Defensive Contribution: -15.3, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Offensive Contribution: 120.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -1.0, Adjusted Oepm: 3.0, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -28.5, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Offensive Contribution: 90.6, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 1.0, Adjusted Oepm: 0.5, Assigned Minutes: 18, Defensive Contribution: 18.0, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Offensive Contribution: 8.5, Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Replacement?: false
Defensive Strength
59.4
Offensive Strength
94.4
Roster Construction
20% overall weight · starting 72.4
91.3

Roster Construction combines four full-roster metrics; Roster Completeness is strongest at 100.0, while Skill Coverage is weakest at 79.08841798970963.

Roster Completeness
15% pillar weight
100.0

Roster Completeness scores 15 standard contracts and 3 of 3 available two-way slots.

Inputs
Maximum Standard Roster
15
Maximum Two Way Contracts
3
Minimum Standard Roster
14
Standard Count
15
Two Way Count
3
Supporting values
Standard Roster Score
100.0
Two Way Bonus
5.0
Position Coverage
25% pillar weight
100.0

Position Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-position average and 30% to the weakest listed position.

Inputs
Average Position Score
100.0
Coverage Units
C: 3.0, Pf: 1.0, Pg: 1.7, Sf: 4.1, Sg: 3.8
Weakest Position Score
100.0
Supporting values
C
100.0
Pf
100.0
Pg
100.0
Sf
100.0
Sg
100.0
Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no PG coverage credit was invented.
Skill Coverage
35% pillar weight
79.1

Skill Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-skill average and 30% to the weakest roster-wide capability.

Inputs
Average Skill Score
84.3
Ranked Player Indexes
Defense: 88.9, 86.8, 85.8, 75.2, Playmaking: 89.7, 88.3, Rebounding: 99.2, 98.8, 91.7, Rim Protection: 98.1, 91.2, Shooting: 91.6, 82.5, 78.0, 73.5, 70.5
Team Raw Scores
Defense: 85.6, Playmaking: 89.2, Rebounding: 97.6, Rim Protection: 96.0, Shooting: 81.8
Weakest Skill Score
66.8
Supporting values
Defense
66.8
Playmaking
67.7
Rebounding
100.0
Rim Protection
100.0
Shooting
87.2
Functional Depth
25% pillar weight
94.5

Functional Depth combines position depth (35%), skill redundancy (40%), and skill concentration (25%) across the entire roster.

Inputs
Position Depth
Average Score: 88.3, Scores: C: 96.5, Pf: 95.2, Pg: 100.0, Sf: 75.0, Sg: 75.0, Units: C: 3.4, Pf: 3.5, Pg: 3.0, Sf: 5.8, Sg: 5.8, Weakest Score: 75.0
Skill Concentration
Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Top Player Shares: Defense: 0.3, Playmaking: 0.3, Rebounding: 0.3, Rim Protection: 0.4, Shooting: 0.4
Skill Redundancy
Average Score: 100.0, Qualified Index Threshold: 60.0, Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Units: Defense: 6.0, Playmaking: 5.7, Rebounding: 5.0, Rim Protection: 4.0, Shooting: 7.1, Weakest Score: 100.0
Supporting values
Position Depth
84.3
Skill Concentration
100.0
Skill Redundancy
100.0
Fallback: Damian Lillard has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Contract Health
10% overall weight · starting 65.7
71.8

Contract Health combines four final-roster contract metrics; Long-Term Risk is strongest at 99.19817134736921, while Contract Optionality is weakest at 52.22804078047363.

Contract Value
35% pillar weight
61.8

Contract Value compares confidence-adjusted market salary with actual salary across 18 active contracts, weighted by discounted remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
18
Discounted Remaining Salary
311753593.6
Supporting values
Best Contracts
Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 86.2, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.9
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Deficit: 141149, Projected Surplus: 627575, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17939209, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 17845109, Salary: 18080358, Score: 49.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -141149, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 19629620, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.1, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 55530, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 21592582, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.7, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 301013, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Confidence: 0.4, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 23039285, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.6, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: 271032, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 14898786.0, Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Projected Deficit: 1587066, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 44.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13311720, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9608565, Salary: 14898786, Score: 44.7, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1587066, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 38605270, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 73.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 27243444, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 35803266, Salary: 14403710, Score: 73.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 12839734, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28241568, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39383593, Salary: 15161800, Score: 73.2, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 13079768, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28605658, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 42022293, Salary: 15919890, Score: 72.2, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 12685768, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Deficit: 3799523, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 45.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 12561680, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9205601, Salary: 14000000, Score: 44.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1438320, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 9822376, Salary: 14500000, Score: 45.6, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1262958, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 10480475, Salary: 15000000, Score: 46.3, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -1098245, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 29351287, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 28912815, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39256025, Salary: 13398000, Score: 76.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 15514815, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39727097, Salary: 14104000, Score: 74.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 13836472, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 15012078, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 68.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 20321082, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 37111939, Salary: 13125000, Score: 67.7, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 7196082, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19690996, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 40823133, Salary: 11875000, Score: 69.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 7815996, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 21513711.4, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Projected Deficit: 2390492, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 44.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 9968125, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 6806737, Salary: 11323006, Score: 44.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1354881, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 10287395, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 7487411, Salary: 11323006, Score: 45.4, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1035611, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9428571.0, Name: Jalen Smith, Player Id: 26aa2a26-4df6-4894-80ac-1275f09d15ba, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1143329, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 55.4, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 10571900, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 13239667, Salary: 9428571, Score: 55.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1143329, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 49583387, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 86.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 34464601, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 51294301, Salary: 9220050, Score: 86.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 25244551, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 54731019, Salary: 9659100, Score: 85.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 24338836, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 15200000, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 16126825, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 15778304, Confidence: 0.9, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 16642560, Salary: 8000000, Score: 74.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 7778304, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 16348521, Confidence: 0.8, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 18306816, Salary: 8000000, Score: 75.5, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 8348521, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 7519920, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 19539432, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 87.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 25980110, Confidence: 0.9, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 28151158, Salary: 6440678, Score: 87.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 19539432, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 5390700, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 6822414, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 12213114, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 28132081, Salary: 5390700, Score: 77.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 6822414, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2497812.0, Name: Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Player Id: 995fe463-bebe-4b60-81cb-4dd0cc236ed3, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1113870, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 65.4, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3611682, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 6210711, Salary: 2497812, Score: 65.4, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1113870, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Name: Seth Curry, Player Id: 4bd5f6d8-a51f-43cb-aa2c-ede4381e93af, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1466562, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 68.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3918695, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Expected: 7340674, Salary: 2452133, Score: 68.7, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1466562, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: John Tonje, Player Id: d745b765-fc16-425d-85e4-d4783294ddb7, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 538226, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 72.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 1217108, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: 2472970, Salary: 678882, Score: 72.1, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 538226, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Total Projected Deficit
7918230
Total Projected Surplus
179930255
Worst Contracts
Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 44.7, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 44.7, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 45.6
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Long Term Risk
30% pillar weight
99.2

Long-Term Risk measures 2251378.5 weighted dollars of projected overpayment across 4 frozen future salary-cap seasons.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
18
Evaluated Seasons
2027-28, 2028-29, 2029-30, 2030-31
Future Risk Burden
0.0
Projected Cap Denominator
842341500
Supporting values
At Risk Dollars
2251378.5
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2029-30, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19582316, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 19526786, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 21274227, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 20973214, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 22690674, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 22419642, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 28241568, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 15161800, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 28605658, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 15919890, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13237042, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1262958.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1262958, Salary: 14500000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13901755, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 988420.5, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 1098245, Salary: 15000000, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 27940472, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 14104000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19690996, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 11875000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Projected Overpayment: 1035611, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 10287395, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1035611, Salary: 11323006, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jalen Smith, Player Id: 26aa2a26-4df6-4894-80ac-1275f09d15ba, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9659100, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 16348521, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 8000000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9550298, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Player Id: 995fe463-bebe-4b60-81cb-4dd0cc236ed3, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Seth Curry, Player Id: 4bd5f6d8-a51f-43cb-aa2c-ede4381e93af, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: John Tonje, Player Id: d745b765-fc16-425d-85e4-d4783294ddb7, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Riskiest Season
Exposure: 1262958.0, Season: 2027-28
Seasons
2027-28: 1262958.0, 2028-29: 988420.5, 2029-30: 0.0, 2030-31: 0
Top Exposure Players
Exposure: 2251378.5, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Projected Overpayment: 2361203
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Contract Mobility
20% pillar weight
63.0

Contract Mobility blends marketability, salary-matching utility, term, and stored trade restrictions across 18 active contracts, including the least-mobile 25% of guaranteed remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
18
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
311753593.6
Guaranteed Remaining Salary
309997038.0
Low Mobility Exposure
53.4
Salary Cap
165000000
Weighted Mobility Average
67.2
Supporting values
Least Movable
Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Marketability: 45.6, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 62.1, Term Utility: 65.0, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0
Most Movable
Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 77.9, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 84.3, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.1, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 81000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 4, Marketability: 50.2, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 62.6, Term Utility: 50.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 14898786.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 14898786.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 44.7, Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 66.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 45485400, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 73.0, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 70.7, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 43500000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 45.6, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 62.1, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 27502000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 75.8, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Restriction Modifier: 0.5, Restrictions: player_option, no_trade_clause, Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 37.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 25000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 68.7, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 76.5, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 21513711.4, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 11323006.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 44.7, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 64.3, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9428571.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 9428571.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 55.4, Name: Jalen Smith, Player Id: 26aa2a26-4df6-4894-80ac-1275f09d15ba, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 70.7, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 18879150.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 86.2, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 78.3, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 15200000, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 8000000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.1, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 7519920.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 87.6, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 90.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 5390700, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 5390700, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 77.9, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 84.3, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2497812.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2497812.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 65.4, Name: Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Player Id: 995fe463-bebe-4b60-81cb-4dd0cc236ed3, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 71.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 68.7, Name: Seth Curry, Player Id: 4bd5f6d8-a51f-43cb-aa2c-ede4381e93af, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 73.7, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: John Tonje, Player Id: d745b765-fc16-425d-85e4-d4783294ddb7, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 72.1, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true
Salary Below 40
26091600
Useful Mid Sized Contracts
13
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: no_trade_clause was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Contract Optionality
15% pillar weight
52.2

Contract Optionality scores future team control across 18 active contracts, weighted by future salary within each contract and discounted remaining salary across the roster.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
18
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
311753593.6
Supporting values
Expiring Contract Count
9
Least Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 34.6
Most Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 68126786.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Toumani Camara, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 19526786, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 20973214, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 22419642, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 14898786.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Herb Jones, Player Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 40785242.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 34.6, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15161800, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15919890, Score: 20.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 39050000, Expiring?: false, Name: Robert Williams III, Player Id: 7e56eb1f-5f10-4b49-a47c-fe8e3df122a6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14500000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 15000000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 26091600, Expiring?: false, Name: Damian Lillard, Player Id: e0ba6278-16cd-45f7-b3a9-0c1df8aa32d7, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14104000, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23812500, Expiring?: false, Name: Deni Avdija, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 11875000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 21513711.4, Expiring?: false, Name: Isaiah Joe, Player Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 11323006, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9428571.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jalen Smith, Player Id: 26aa2a26-4df6-4894-80ac-1275f09d15ba, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9659100, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 15200000, Expiring?: false, Name: Tre Jones, Player Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 8000000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 16115188.2, Expiring?: false, Name: Donovan Clingan, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9550298, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6440678.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Saddiq Bey, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 5390700, Expiring?: true, Name: Kevin Porter Jr., Player Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2497812.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Player Id: 995fe463-bebe-4b60-81cb-4dd0cc236ed3, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Seth Curry, Player Id: 4bd5f6d8-a51f-43cb-aa2c-ede4381e93af, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jayson Kent, Player Id: 55c7b1f6-52ed-4581-9588-8aa1b685f6a9, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: John Tonje, Player Id: d745b765-fc16-425d-85e4-d4783294ddb7, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Chris Youngblood, Player Id: 83b1d563-a04e-46f5-8496-75d007f9115e, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons:
Cap Flexibility
10% overall weight · starting 82.1
89.6

Cap & Flexibility combines four cap-state metrics; Tax & Apron Exposure is strongest at 100.0, while Transaction Flexibility is weakest at 73.31481669859303.

Current Cap Position
20% pillar weight
74.8

Current Cap Position scores the below-cap zone using its engine-calculated threshold cushion relative to the season's salary cap.

Inputs
Salary Cap
165000000
Supporting values
Cap Room
12215165
Financial Zone
below_cap
First Apron Cushion
56215165
Second Apron Cushion
69215165
Second Apron Excess
0
Tax Cushion
48676031
Tax Apron Exposure
30% pillar weight
100.0

Tax & Apron Exposure scores the below-cap zone using the projected engine tax bill and recorded repeater assumption.

Inputs
Financial Zone
below_cap
Projected Tax Bill
0
Salary Cap
165000000
Tax Bill Ratio
0.0
Supporting values
First Apron Cushion
56215165
Repeater
Source: default, Value: false
Second Apron Cushion
69215165
Tax Cushion
48676031
Taxpayer
false
Future Flexibility
30% pillar weight
99.8

Future Flexibility scores unavoidable commitments and dead money over the next three cap-state seasons, weighted 50/30/20.

Inputs
Future Season Count
3
Supporting values
Seasons
Commitment Ratio: 0.5, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 268031, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 98.5, Effective Committed Salary: 85094717, Salary Cap: 181500000, Score: 99.7, Season: 2027-28, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.3, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 268031, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 98.7, Effective Committed Salary: 52161135, Salary Cap: 199650000, Score: 99.7, Season: 2028-29, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.1, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 22419642, Salary Cap: 219615000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2029-30, Threshold Source: official
Transaction Flexibility
20% pillar weight
73.3

Transaction Flexibility combines the cap state's usable signing, trade, trade-exception, and roster pathways at AVC's 30/40/20/10 weights.

Inputs
As Of Date
2026-08-17
Largest Usable Signing Mechanism
Amount: 12215165, Description: Sign using available cap space, Hard Cap Amount: —, Max Years: 5, Name: Cap Space, Remaining: 12215165, Triggers Hard Cap: false, Type: cap_space, Usable: true
Non Taxpayer Mle
15139000
Supporting values
Roster Maneuverability
79.5
Signing Tools
84.5
Trade Exception Capacity
0.0
Trade Tools
100.0
Asset Management
5% overall weight · starting 74.2
57.4

Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded until PTV is calibrated; the 35/20/20 inventory weights are renormalized to 46.67/26.67/26.67. Pick Quality is strongest at 74.65172413793104, while Asset Optionality is weakest at 36.0.

Draft Capital Value
47% pillar weight
59.8

Draft Capital Value percentiles 371.18078940374903 total DAV across 13 controlled assets against the frozen league inventory.

Inputs
Asset Count
13
Benchmark
113.7, 149.6, 150.2, 156.9, 184.6, 206.1, 217.1, 219.4, 226.9, 230.2, 249.7, 263.1, 266.9, 322.5, 328.3, 351.7, 353.8, 367.9, 377.6, 382.8, 397.1, 404.8, 411.6, 425.8, 472.3, 480.8, 489.2, 559.2, 581.0, 695.3
Total Dav
371.2
Window
First Year: 2027, Last Year: 2033
Supporting values
Assets
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 11.4, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 10.4, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 64b8856a-656e-4cef-9f2e-a9becbfee6dc, Swap Note: CHA more favorable of NOP/POR 2nds; POR keeps less favorable but conveys it to HOU only at 56-60 [CHA-PHI-POR-NYK 2/9/2023; BOS-HOU 2/6/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: f5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9, Part Id: 50649b7d-ba68-48d7-9c65-079188f2719e, Pick Id: 9147fa1a-7bc7-437f-991e-182933f9545e, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 82.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 3, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 8.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.3, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: b74e31a3-fe8a-4d69-984d-09875b09d454, Swap Note: IND more favorable of IND/WAS; POR less [NYK-POR 6/27/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 8.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.0, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 05f976e2-1a87-45e5-8424-37103be34cf3, Part Id: 8313f29a-9a25-4bf8-b30f-22cac494bdfd, Pick Id: 28b420a1-b7db-4d5f-b329-4b6cb9ef7522, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 40.3, Dav: 12.3, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 52.6, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 126.0, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 754122546036593031, 13190736261275976963, 15001587571146789003, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Variance: 179.8, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.5, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.5, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ad881f83-111d-48d6-afa8-644ad8d7a419, Pick Id: 0ce785d7-8f6e-4ece-ba09-31e8fe0cb35b, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 30.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.1, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.1, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c9cdbaa8-4ab4-42ed-a380-c2d30ee2058c, Part Id: 9dbd9dc7-88f6-4f14-b385-7d08383f819e, Pick Id: 99c05d48-3424-4c6e-a17e-3fbb2bb4138d, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033
By Origin Team
05f976e2-1a87-45e5-8424-37103be34cf3: 8.0, B70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c: 130.2, C9cdbaa8-4ab4-42ed-a380-c2d30ee2058c: 6.1, F5bc4093-0467-48f9-8a9b-d08c2a38cdf9: 7.5, Swap Pool: 219.3
By Year
2027: 73.3, 2028: 61.1, 2029: 103.2, 2030: 52.6, 2031: 44.1, 2033: 36.9
First Round Dav
323.4
Second Round Dav
47.8
Swap Dav
75.2
Pick Quality
27% pillar weight
74.7

Pick Quality combines frozen-league percentiles for the best asset and top three with 3.05 Premium Asset Units.

Inputs
Best Asset Raw
61.1
Premium Asset Units
3.0
Top Three Raw
58.7
Supporting values
Best Asset
Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028
Best Asset Quality
69.0
Premium Asset Inventory
90.5
Top Three Assets
Baseline Dav: 49.2, Dav: 11.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 61.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 44.2, Dav: 12.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 56.8, Inventory Std Error: 0.1, Inventory Variance: 135.2, Iterations: 10000, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: monte_carlo, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 1, Seed: 5533090377100007985, 16085319098186382655, 3002395148441400849, Std Error: 0.1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Variance: 189.6, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 55.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 55.4, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027
Top Three Quality
72.4
Asset Optionality
27% pillar weight
36.0

Asset Optionality combines 1 immediately tradable firsts, 1 clean first-round years, and normalized encumbrance control.

Inputs
Clean First Round Years
1
Encumbrances
Complex Chain: false, Obligations: Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, Kind: swap_owed, Pick Id: 01e22e2a-2d82-4d70-90f3-5e67d88ef753, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: 9ef3c54b-7735-4b79-9054-a7a2af819f9c, Kind: owed, Pick Id: fd577648-14bf-4247-9eca-47df8a1bb917, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2029, Counterparties: 71d3586f-3539-43b2-a17d-c24d858b98cd, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 51f8fc77-7d31-45c0-b6d3-b1af53f6c773, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2029, Affected Years: 2030, Counterparties: 40b9686c-5db4-4c8f-a8b0-118d82bd0e91, cc7d01c5-c03a-410f-adf3-82880341ee04, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 70e3b441-2e25-48c6-a603-d54f986f082e, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2030, Affected Years: 2032, Counterparties: 1e35b5fe-35a4-4919-b64a-a39e1a9786d6, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 5448ff57-161d-4f33-817a-131b89fdeebc, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2032, Affected Years: 2032, Counterparties: 1e35b5fe-35a4-4919-b64a-a39e1a9786d6, Kind: owed, Pick Id: cc9aee92-a54f-46f5-a73c-ad6fe30858c2, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2032, Affected Years: 2033, Counterparties: 1e35b5fe-35a4-4919-b64a-a39e1a9786d6, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 8d2ff739-1321-4980-ac5b-be6497dc653e, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2033, Owed First Years: 2032, Owed Second Years: 2028, 2029, 2030, 2032, 2033, Owed Swaps: 0, Rollover Risk Years:
Tradable First Capacity
1
Supporting values
Calendar Flexibility
15.0
Capacity
Assets: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Candidates: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: de1e978c-55da-4aec-b611-1e15162e7a6c, Pick Id: e8cceccd-038d-4dce-8a1d-eb9ee6e2880a, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 276cca52-0c4c-4708-9173-7506ad940c8d, Pick Id: 2b5f99c9-8449-42a6-a58c-18cea7949277, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2031, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 163094da-33f4-4275-a657-a46b52efd00d, Pick Id: b5b7720e-3156-4f42-b419-cb59df992b0d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2033, Capacity: 1, Conditional: , Frozen: , Partial Rights: , Reserved Years: 2031, 2033, Swap Rights: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 37e47908-7877-4553-8af7-c985f244e10f, Pick Id: 70bd8d2c-0400-4dd5-8d80-3440f294f230, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: fb1c97a1-e429-4b6d-b395-7934082cf554, Pick Id: eb1f41a8-e555-4a95-a9aa-2bdcd7d466c0, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 5e6f8488-d6a0-4274-8e7c-60e3e23c2303, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: ace8ef99-25b5-4911-9c57-34bd91448b9e, Pick Id: 7b9d0abc-6454-4743-9c68-1bb1e0eddb6d, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 47eb4c45-f4e4-4a2c-9e22-523343201548, Pick Id: ccaab084-81f8-4ea4-b7ba-189cb33bc417, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 5e0175c5-e1b9-4ec2-9085-4cdb127db98c, Part Id: ea3284c2-15e7-4294-ba38-697e1eec70f8, Pick Id: deec4862-cb31-4012-b9f7-3ca1f50f01c8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 3, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 2b203b61-f4c4-44ff-a41d-a69d19d76802, Swap Note: POR most and least favorable of POR/BOS/MIL; WAS second-most [BOS-POR 10/1/2023; POR-WAS 7/6/2024], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2029, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: c9cdbaa8-4ab4-42ed-a380-c2d30ee2058c, Part Id: ced74775-7fdb-4a66-b8f0-c4795b7b5f0a, Pick Id: 391bc298-d440-45b8-aeae-c833def1efbc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: f3609a24-1cbd-466f-bbc7-72bd2100b669, Pick Id: e73f1e88-be08-4748-852f-4a89860edd83, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Part Id: 325100d6-9b0b-4618-97ef-2522af724a09, Pick Id: ec1b29de-eca3-4af0-a52d-9ba07b349cba, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2030, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 1, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 56677506-b10c-4aad-925e-686742351ccb, Swap Note: POR most favorable of POR/MIL/MIA; MIL middle; MIA least [MIL-POR; MIA-MIL 7/2026], Team Id: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Year: 2030, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1
Clean Years
Count: 1, Detail: 2027: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2028: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 1, 2029: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 2, 2030: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: swap_only, Swap Rights: 1, 2031: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: stepien_blocked, Swap Rights: 0, 2032: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2033: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: stepien_blocked, Swap Rights: 0, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1, Years: 2027
Encumbrance Control
70.0
Tradable First Capacity
35.0
Asset Exchange Value
0% pillar weight
20.5

Asset Exchange Value scored 5 qualifying transactions provisionally because player valuation calibration or frozen component evidence is incomplete.

Inputs
Total Scale
125.0
Transaction Count
5
Supporting values
Transactions
Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: b10aa8d3-e27e-4883-b8cf-4e0db2b8d03d, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 26aa2a26-4df6-4894-80ac-1275f09d15ba, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e43336bc-b4a4-4155-af10-aaee509977f1, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, ab60a403-1100-418f-b5c2-125a83c74cda, Type: draft_asset, Value: 46.5, Id: 1630b271-c967-445e-bf42-9d8dd121b773, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -46.5, Outgoing Value: 46.5, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 0.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 4539a0bf-019e-4bcd-a011-5b6c8a820b12, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: e3242d53-0830-41bb-9072-f05a1f6a2326, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 633b6e86-d9cb-489d-a942-53f82dfb8ec0, Type: draft_asset, Value: 10.1, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 067b1c15-0ba5-4428-99fe-b6c0587df4e3, Type: draft_asset, Value: 12.1, Id: c4765181-1f5f-430f-8e81-439aa0042294, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -22.1, Outgoing Value: 22.1, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 5.7, Uncapped Score: 5.7, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 4d5e51c4-827d-4d52-b862-f008b76364c0, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: f4b84fb6-355d-4d74-9c91-e2a76f4abbd9, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, e0197ce0-a032-40d4-89de-ac43d023a22c, Type: draft_asset, Value: 33.5, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 30295ced-60e7-4b4d-8ff9-c8d8247b1edd, Type: draft_asset, Value: 6.3, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 2afd0f58-c0b3-4551-99f1-b384e2cd2d84, Type: draft_asset, Value: 6.8, Id: a0444ba1-c2af-469e-a4f6-843de5667245, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -46.6, Outgoing Value: 46.6, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 0.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: fa9c6101-dca5-4a0d-a96f-b97d2f877979, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 995fe463-bebe-4b60-81cb-4dd0cc236ed3, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 8c70b9e0-06db-4155-99de-96955b802f7d, Type: draft_asset, Value: 9.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 8313f29a-9a25-4bf8-b30f-22cac494bdfd, Type: draft_asset, Value: 8.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 9dbd9dc7-88f6-4f14-b385-7d08383f819e, Type: draft_asset, Value: 6.1, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 1ada909c-e8dc-4ae3-912a-4a7c810f0430, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: d319f301-0920-4ce4-ac68-0f165dbc8ca4, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: b95d5dd4-2be8-4a7c-a5a0-45c306df4cdd, Incoming Value: 23.2, Net Advantage: 23.2, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly favorable based on estimated market value. Because the return falls outside the normal market range, its Asset Exchange score has been capped., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 65.0, Uncapped Score: 96.4, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 522306b2-0f94-4210-859c-3789195bb872, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 604d139e-15e6-4e6b-bc42-449b405add83, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 28d42da6-4419-4662-84ae-fe018f45d102, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 6e7fe03d-29a3-4a07-8015-cae9ed21b73f, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, 8c70b9e0-06db-4155-99de-96955b802f7d, Type: draft_asset, Value: 9.0, Id: 249f4747-4df7-4f8f-8bfe-198fcb396e40, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -9.0, Outgoing Value: 9.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 31.9, Uncapped Score: 31.9
Fallback: Player Transaction Value is provisional; Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded from the pillar score.
Timeline Alignment
20% overall weight · starting 76.2
92.6

Timeline Alignment applies Championship Push's targets; Development Environment is strongest and Prime Window Alignment is weakest.

Core Age Fit
30% pillar weight
95.6

Core players are scored against Championship Push's ideal age range.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Supporting values
Ideal Core Age
Max: 31, Min: 25
Penalty Above
7
Penalty Below
8
Players
Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Score: 76.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Score: 100.0, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Score: 100.0, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Score: 100.0
Prime Window Alignment
25% pillar weight
84.8

Prime Window Alignment combines mandate timing and core synchronization.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Prime Midpoint
27.5
Supporting values
Core Synchronization
88.8
Players
Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Prime Timing Offset: -1.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Prime Timing Offset: 5.5, Window Timing Score: 32.5, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 25, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Prime Timing Offset: 2.5, Window Timing Score: 77.5, Age: 26, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Prime Timing Offset: 1.5, Window Timing Score: 92.5, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0
Prime Offset Range
Max: 1.0, Min: -2.0
Prime Timing Spread
2.2
Window Timing
82.7
Core Continuity
25% pillar weight
90.6

Core Continuity measures franchise control through the 2-season mandate window.

Inputs
Continuity Horizon
2
Mandate
championship_push
Supporting values
Overall Core Control
91.7
Players
Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 67.5, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9220050, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 9220050, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 0.4, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9659100, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: player, Reason: player option — the player holds the decision, Salary: 9659100, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: player_option, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 76.0, Continuity Score: 97.5, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 7519920, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 7519920, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9550298, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 9550298, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 3f163288-df98-44e8-9b5c-9e57a0cdfdc5, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 14403710, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 14403710, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 15161800, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 15161800, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d54faffc-f1e0-4370-b461-ac93abd51c72, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 13125000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 13125000, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 11875000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 11875000, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f1af9e78-21ab-40db-87fd-433382a7eff6, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 18080358, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 18080358, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 19526786, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 19526786, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: d7a1d632-826e-471c-8f4d-bb95a75263c7, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 87.5, Core Importance Value: 0.7, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 6440678, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 6440678, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: none, Control Factor: 0.8, Estimated: true, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Estimated restricted (D-17): 1 years of service at free agency (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2027-28, Source: free_agency, Status: rfa_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: e1f528e1-6c76-4ff0-9881-5879f14e6b3d, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1
Top End Control
88.1
Fallback: Control status for 2027-28 uses the documented RFA estimate.
Development Environment
20% pillar weight
100.0

Development Environment balances mandate-appropriate youth minutes, veterans, and meaningful young roles.

Inputs
Mandate
championship_push
Rotation Minutes
240
Supporting values
Developmental Role Distribution
100.0
Established Veteran Count
4
Meaningful Young Role Count
1
Targets
Veteran Count: Max: 8, Min: 4, Young Minute Share: Max: 0.2, Min: 0.1, Young Roles: Max: 3, Min: 1
Veteran Infrastructure
100.0
Young Minute Share
0.1
Young Player Opportunity
100.0
Young Rotation Minutes
32
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See the Portland Trail Blazers cap sheet this grade was calculated from.

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