2026-27 The league's active season — trades, cap positions, and scenarios are computed against it.
Orlando Magic

Magic Miracle — GM Grade

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AVC GM Grade

57/100

Retool mandate

Front-office assessment

Against the Retool mandate, cap flexibility is the clearest gain, while asset management is the main cost. 2 material plausibility concerns also limit confidence in the result.

What the mandate rewards

The Retool mandate calls for balancing present competitiveness with future assets and sustainable team control.

Positive takeaways

  • Cap Flexibility: The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules.

Areas for improvement

  • Asset Management: The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value.
  • Competitive Strength: The roster gives up some immediate on-court strength.
  • Improve transaction realism so the scenario is supportable against the frozen market evidence.

Plausibility review

Resolve these realism concerns before relying on the projected outcome.

2 material concerns

  • Trade

    Trade with ATL

    Unlikely
    Teams
    ATL
    Assets
    Jalen Wilson, Goga Bitadze, 2027 Rnd 2 (ATL retains 31-55; DAL receives 56-60; otherwise obligation extinguishes), 2029 Rnd 2
    Principal reason
    Asset Value Outlier

    This transaction appears highly favorable based on package-equivalent market value. Because the return falls outside the normal acceptance range, the counterparty acceptance curve reduces its Asset Exchange score.

  • Trade

    Trade with DAL

    Unlikely
    Teams
    DAL
    Assets
    Kyrie Irving, Jalen Suggs, Anthony Black, Swap: less favorable of DAL/OKC 2028 1st
    Principal reason
    Asset Value Outlier

    This transaction appears highly favorable based on package-equivalent market value. Because the return falls outside the normal acceptance range, the counterparty acceptance curve reduces its Asset Exchange score.

Pillar scores

See how the final roster changed across the six parts of the GM grade.

Competitive Strength
Declined · Δ -12.3
34.9

The roster gives up some immediate on-court strength. The clearest supporting decline is Rotation Quality. Competitive Strength moved -12.3 points from the inherited state.

Roster Construction
Declined · Δ -4.6
63.2

The roster is less complete or balanced than the inherited group. The clearest supporting decline is Skill Coverage. Roster Construction moved -4.6 points from the inherited state.

Contract Health
Declined · Δ -0.2
64.0

The contract structure carries more value or long-term risk. The clearest supporting decline is Contract Optionality. Contract Health moved -0.2 points from the inherited state.

Cap Flexibility
Improved · Δ +0.9
47.2

The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules. The clearest supporting improvement is Current Cap Position. Cap Flexibility moved +0.9 points from the inherited state.

Asset Management
Declined · Δ -13.7
28.4

The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value. The clearest supporting decline is Pick Quality. Asset Management moved -13.7 points from the inherited state. Relevant recorded context: Trade with CLE: sent 2027 Rnd 1 (CLE) and 2027 Rnd 2 (ATL retains 31-55; DAL receives 56-60; otherwise obligation extinguishes) (CLE); received Jaylon Tyson (CLE).

Timeline Alignment
Declined · Δ -0.5
88.2

The roster is less aligned with the mandate's competitive window. The clearest supporting decline is Development Environment. Timeline Alignment moved -0.5 points from the inherited state.

Advanced details

Weights, metric calculations, supporting values, fallbacks, and progression methodology

For expert review

Score calculation

Each pillar score is multiplied by its mandate weight to produce the base score. Plausibility penalties and caps are then applied to produce the authoritative final grade.

Starting weighted score
61.3
Base score
57.4
Plausibility penalty
0.0
Final score
57.4

Scenario Progression

not applicable

Product v0 does not apply this curve outside a Lab-only experiment.

Canonical Final GM Grade

57.4

Authoritative score

No Progression adjustment is applied.

Retool is not applicable in product v0; only a Lab-only longitudinal experiment may apply its curve.

The multiplier remains 1.0; the canonical Final GM Grade remains authoritative.

The state comparison neutralizes Asset Exchange Value (AEV) to 50 and excludes transaction plausibility on both sides. AEV and plausibility still remain part of the canonical Final GM Grade where applicable.

Pillar and metric calculations

Expand a pillar and metric to inspect its frozen calculation inputs.

Competitive Strength
15% overall weight · starting 47.3
34.9

Competitive Strength combines four frozen-rotation metrics; Two-Way Balance is strongest at 41.40999251238, while Star Power is weakest at 29.289531371962415.

Star Power
30% pillar weight
29.3

The top three Star Power contributions come from Franz Wagner, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr..

Inputs
Benchmark
-0.5, -0.4, -0.1, 0.5, 0.9, 1.2, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, 2.5, 2.9, 3.1, 3.2, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 4.0, 4.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7, 4.8, 5.8, 5.8, 7.3
Eligible Player Count
10
Raw
2.0
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
30
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 33, Contribution: 2.5, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 1.8, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.1, Assigned Minutes: 27, Contribution: 0.9, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9
Starting Five
25% pillar weight
33.4

Starting Five Quality combines equal contributions from Kyrie Irving, Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner.

Inputs
Benchmark
-8.7, -7.3, -4.2, -1.0, -0.7, -0.6, -0.5, 0.0, 0.7, 1.9, 5.1, 5.8, 6.0, 6.4, 6.5, 7.0, 7.2, 7.2, 7.7, 9.0, 9.7, 9.9, 11.4, 11.5, 12.2, 12.2, 12.5, 13.2, 13.4, 22.3
Designated Starter Count
5
Raw
4.1
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
28
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: -1.5, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 1.8, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.1, Assigned Minutes: 27, Contribution: 1.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 0.3, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 33, Contribution: 2.5, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Fallback: Kyrie Irving's Adjusted EPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Rotation Quality
30% pillar weight
38.7

Rotation Quality averages fatigue-adjusted impact across 10 rotation players and 240 assigned minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Benchmark
-1.9, -1.7, -1.0, -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.8, -0.7, -0.7, -0.7, 0.3, 0.3, 0.6, 0.6, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.3, 1.3, 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 2.3, 2.8
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Raw
0.4
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 0.8, Assigned Minutes: 26, Contribution: 19.5, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: -45.0, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.7, Assigned Minutes: 13, Contribution: -21.8, Effective Minutes: 13.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 32, Contribution: 57.6, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 21, Contribution: 6.7, Effective Minutes: 21.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.0, Assigned Minutes: 18, Contribution: -18.2, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -2.4, Assigned Minutes: 10, Contribution: -23.7, Effective Minutes: 10.0, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.1, Assigned Minutes: 27, Contribution: 28.4, Effective Minutes: 27.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 8.7, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 33, Contribution: 81.8, Effective Minutes: 33.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false
Fallback: Kyrie Irving's Adjusted EPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Two Way Balance
15% pillar weight
41.4

Two-Way Balance weights the weaker defense side at 70% across 240 assigned rotation minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Defense Benchmark
-0.9, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4, -0.3, -0.0, 0.0, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.9
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Offense Benchmark
-1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.3, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6
Rotation Depm
0.0
Rotation Oepm
0.4
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Depm: 0.2, Adjusted Oepm: 0.6, Assigned Minutes: 26, Defensive Contribution: 4.9, Effective Minutes: 26.0, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Offensive Contribution: 14.6, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.8, Adjusted Oepm: -0.8, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -22.5, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Kyrie Irving, Offensive Contribution: -22.5, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.6, Adjusted Oepm: -1.1, Assigned Minutes: 13, Defensive Contribution: -7.8, Effective Minutes: 13.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Offensive Contribution: -13.9, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 32, Defensive Contribution: -1.6, Effective Minutes: 32.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Offensive Contribution: 58.9, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 0.8, Assigned Minutes: 21, Defensive Contribution: -9.5, Effective Minutes: 21.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Offensive Contribution: 16.2, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: -1.0, Assigned Minutes: 18, Defensive Contribution: -1.3, Effective Minutes: 18.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Offensive Contribution: -17.1, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -1.0, Adjusted Oepm: -1.4, Assigned Minutes: 10, Defensive Contribution: -10.0, Effective Minutes: 10.0, Name: Jevon Carter, Offensive Contribution: -13.6, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 1.2, Adjusted Oepm: -0.2, Assigned Minutes: 27, Defensive Contribution: 33.5, Effective Minutes: 27.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Offensive Contribution: -5.1, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.2, Adjusted Oepm: 0.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -5.4, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Offensive Contribution: 14.1, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.8, Adjusted Oepm: 1.6, Assigned Minutes: 33, Defensive Contribution: 27.7, Effective Minutes: 33.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Offensive Contribution: 54.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false
Defensive Strength
39.3
Offensive Strength
46.4
Fallback: Kyrie Irving's Adjusted OEPM and DEPM uses the frozen provisional fallback.
Roster Construction
15% overall weight · starting 67.9
63.2

Roster Construction combines four full-roster metrics; Position Coverage is strongest at 100.0, while Skill Coverage is weakest at 10.416568454261327.

Roster Completeness
15% pillar weight
91.7

Roster Completeness scores 14 standard contracts and 1 of 3 available two-way slots.

Inputs
Maximum Standard Roster
15
Maximum Two Way Contracts
3
Minimum Standard Roster
14
Standard Count
14
Two Way Count
1
Supporting values
Standard Roster Score
90.0
Two Way Bonus
1.7
Position Coverage
25% pillar weight
100.0

Position Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-position average and 30% to the weakest listed position.

Inputs
Average Position Score
100.0
Coverage Units
C: 2.0, Pf: 2.0, Pg: 1.0, Sf: 4.0, Sg: 1.9
Weakest Position Score
100.0
Supporting values
C
100.0
Pf
100.0
Pg
100.0
Sf
100.0
Sg
100.0
Fallback: Kyrie Irving has no season-minutes sample, so no PG coverage credit was invented.
Fallback: Izaiyah Nelson has no season-minutes sample, so no C coverage credit was invented.
Fallback: Colin Castleton has no season-minutes sample, so no C coverage credit was invented.
Skill Coverage
35% pillar weight
10.4

Skill Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-skill average and 30% to the weakest roster-wide capability.

Inputs
Average Skill Score
14.9
Ranked Player Indexes
Defense: 75.4, 72.8, 59.2, 53.9, Playmaking: 74.8, 74.4, Rebounding: 88.7, 81.2, 79.4, Rim Protection: 69.5, 58.0, Shooting: 79.7, 76.3, 66.9, 61.1, 55.2
Team Raw Scores
Defense: 68.1, Playmaking: 74.7, Rebounding: 84.6, Rim Protection: 66.1, Shooting: 71.1
Weakest Skill Score
0.0
Supporting values
Defense
5.1
Playmaking
2.6
Rebounding
28.2
Rim Protection
0.0
Shooting
38.5
Functional Depth
25% pillar weight
83.4

Functional Depth combines position depth (35%), skill redundancy (40%), and skill concentration (25%) across the entire roster.

Inputs
Position Depth
Average Score: 88.0, Scores: C: 100.0, Pf: 88.6, Pg: 82.5, Sf: 75.0, Sg: 94.0, Units: C: 2.7, Pf: 4.1, Pg: 1.7, Sf: 5.3, Sg: 3.6, Weakest Score: 75.0
Skill Concentration
Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Top Player Shares: Defense: 0.4, Playmaking: 0.3, Rebounding: 0.4, Rim Protection: 0.4, Shooting: 0.4
Skill Redundancy
Average Score: 84.0, Qualified Index Threshold: 60.0, Scores: Defense: 75.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 45.0, Shooting: 100.0, Units: Defense: 2.0, Playmaking: 5.0, Rebounding: 5.0, Rim Protection: 1.0, Shooting: 4.0, Weakest Score: 45.0
Supporting values
Position Depth
84.1
Skill Concentration
100.0
Skill Redundancy
72.3
Fallback: Kyrie Irving has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Fallback: Izaiyah Nelson has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Fallback: Colin Castleton has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Contract Health
20% overall weight · starting 64.1
64.0

Contract Health combines four final-roster contract metrics; Long-Term Risk is strongest at 93.11426527127063, while Contract Value is weakest at 49.13634544509545.

Contract Value
35% pillar weight
49.1

Contract Value compares confidence-adjusted market salary with actual salary across 15 active contracts, weighted by discounted remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
15
Discounted Remaining Salary
634496298.1
Supporting values
Best Contracts
Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 92.8, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Deficit: 10556528, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 38590108, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 31206084, Salary: 41754690, Score: 46.2, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -3164582, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42006977, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 34326692, Salary: 44847630, Score: 46.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2840653, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45466536, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 37759362, Salary: 47940570, Score: 47.4, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -2474034, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 48956251, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 41535298, Salary: 51033510, Score: 48.0, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: -2077259, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2030-31, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Deficit: 9399166, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 47.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 38768632, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 33001523, Salary: 41240250, Score: 47.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -2471618, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42315265, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 36301675, Salary: 44539470, Score: 47.5, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2224205, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45917326, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39931843, Salary: 47838690, Score: 48.0, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -1921364, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 49560452, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 43925027, Salary: 51137910, Score: 48.5, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: -1577458, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 53232609, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 48317530, Salary: 54437130, Score: 48.9, Season: 2030-31, Surplus: -1204521, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 77666187.8, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Projected Deficit: 3292810, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 48.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 38114405, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 34901693, Salary: 39491282, Score: 48.3, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -1376877, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 40500629, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 35320513, Salary: 42416562, Score: 47.7, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -1915933, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Deficit: 7390436, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 36887578, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 30917715, Salary: 39446090, Score: 46.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -2558512, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 39688637, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 32989202, Salary: 42166510, Score: 47.1, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2477873, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42532879, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 35199478, Salary: 44886930, Score: 47.4, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -2354051, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Projected Deficit: 232429, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 49.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17969228, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 17659425, Salary: 18102000, Score: 49.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -132772, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19516466, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 19425368, Salary: 19550160, Score: 49.9, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -33694, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 20932357, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 20726867, Salary: 20998320, Score: 49.8, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -65963, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3991200, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 6138466, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 8735910.0, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 4784321, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 67.5, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 6282145, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 12403842, Salary: 3658560, Score: 70.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 2623585, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 7802236, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 13644226, Salary: 5641500, Score: 63.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 2160736, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3132360, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3282000, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 5910882, Score: 75.0, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2540530.0, Name: Jalen Wilson, Player Id: 7fc17c19-7fa1-433e-aa1b-2928a22fc3c4, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 464843, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 57.7, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3005373, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 4090007, Salary: 2540530, Score: 57.7, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 464843, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1042011, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 64.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3491432, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 5922791, Salary: 2449421, Score: 64.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1042011, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 14600410, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 92.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17049831, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 26783437, Salary: 2449421, Score: 92.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 14600410, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Projected Deficit: 23641, Projected Surplus: 6905, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 49.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 2151275, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2152111, Salary: 2150917, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 358, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2502260, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2438342, Salary: 2525901, Score: 49.5, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -23641, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2742245, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2762641, Salary: 2735698, Score: 50.1, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 6547, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1624108.0, Name: Justin Holiday, Player Id: 73ee9874-da9c-4d6f-aa4a-f4b89a297739, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Expected: —, Salary: 1624108, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1358064.0, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: —, Salary: 1358064, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary
Total Projected Deficit
30895010
Total Projected Surplus
20898490
Worst Contracts
Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 47.9
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Long Term Risk
30% pillar weight
93.1

Long-Term Risk measures 19333800.4 weighted dollars of projected overpayment across 4 frozen future salary-cap seasons.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
15
Evaluated Seasons
2027-28, 2028-29, 2029-30, 2030-31
Future Risk Burden
0.0
Projected Cap Denominator
842341500
Supporting values
At Risk Dollars
19333800.4
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Exposure: 6729090.8, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Overpayment: 7391946, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 42006977, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2840653.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2840653, Salary: 44847630, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45466536, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2226630.6, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 2474034, Salary: 47940570, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 48956251, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1661807.2, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 2077259, Salary: 51033510, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2030-31, Exposure: 6058563.7, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Overpayment: 6927548, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 42315265, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2224205.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2224205, Salary: 44539470, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45917326, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1729227.6, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 1921364, Salary: 47838690, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 49560452, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1261966.4, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 1577458, Salary: 51137910, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 53232609, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 843164.7, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.7, Projected Overpayment: 1204521, Salary: 54437130, Score: —, Season: 2030-31, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 1915933.0, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Projected Overpayment: 1915933, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 40500629, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1915933.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 1915933, Salary: 42416562, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 4596518.9, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Overpayment: 4831924, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 39688637, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2477873.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2477873, Salary: 42166510, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42532879, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2118645.9, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 2354051, Salary: 44886930, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 33694.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Projected Overpayment: 99657, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19516466, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 33694.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 33694, Salary: 19550160, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 20932357, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 65963, Salary: 20998320, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 6138466, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 7802236, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 5641500, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 3282000, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 5910882, Score: 75.0, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jalen Wilson, Player Id: 7fc17c19-7fa1-433e-aa1b-2928a22fc3c4, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Projected Overpayment: 23641, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 2502260, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 23641, Salary: 2525901, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2742245, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 2735698, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Justin Holiday, Player Id: 73ee9874-da9c-4d6f-aa4a-f4b89a297739, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Riskiest Season
Exposure: 9492358.0, Season: 2027-28
Seasons
2027-28: 9492358.0, 2028-29: 6074504.1, 2029-30: 2923773.6, 2030-31: 843164.7
Top Exposure Players
Exposure: 6729090.8, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Overpayment: 7391946, Exposure: 6058563.7, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Overpayment: 6927548, Exposure: 4596518.9, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Overpayment: 4831924
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Contract Mobility
20% pillar weight
55.7

Contract Mobility blends marketability, salary-matching utility, term, and stored trade restrictions across 15 active contracts, including the least-mobile 25% of guaranteed remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
15
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
634496298.1
Guaranteed Remaining Salary
694274965.0
Low Mobility Exposure
52.7
Salary Cap
165000000
Weighted Mobility Average
56.9
Supporting values
Least Movable
Marketability: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 52.2, Term Utility: 65.0, Marketability: 47.9, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 54.0, Term Utility: 35.0, Marketability: 48.0, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 55.4, Term Utility: 85.0
Most Movable
Marketability: 92.8, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 88.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 67.5, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 78.0, Term Utility: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 185576400, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 4, Marketability: 47.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 55.7, Term Utility: 50.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 239193450.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 5, Marketability: 47.9, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 54.0, Term Utility: 35.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 77666187.8, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 81907844.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 48.0, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 55.4, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 126499530.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: significant_trade_bonus, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 52.2, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 37652160.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 49.8, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 67.6, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3991200, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 8735910.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3658560.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 67.5, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 78.0, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3132360.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2540530.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2540530.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 57.7, Name: Jalen Wilson, Player Id: 7fc17c19-7fa1-433e-aa1b-2928a22fc3c4, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 67.1, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 64.9, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 71.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 92.8, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 88.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2150917.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 49.9, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.4, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1624108.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 1624108.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Justin Holiday, Player Id: 73ee9874-da9c-4d6f-aa4a-f4b89a297739, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1358064.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 1358064.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 91000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false
Salary Below 40
0
Useful Mid Sized Contracts
3
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: no_trade_clause was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Contract Optionality
15% pillar weight
51.3

Contract Optionality scores future team control across 15 active contracts, weighted by future salary within each contract and discounted remaining salary across the roster.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
15
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
634496298.1
Supporting values
Expiring Contract Count
6
Least Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0
Most Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44847630, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 47940570, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 51033510, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44539470, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 47838690, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 51137910, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 54437130, Score: 50.0, Season: 2030-31, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 77666187.8, Expiring?: false, Name: Kyrie Irving, Player Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 42416562, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 42166510, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44886930, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Expiring?: false, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.9, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 19550160, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 20998320, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Expiring?: false, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 6138466, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 8735910.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Jaylon Tyson, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 5641500, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Expiring?: false, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 3282000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 5910882, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2540530.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jalen Wilson, Player Id: 7fc17c19-7fa1-433e-aa1b-2928a22fc3c4, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Expiring?: false, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 97.6, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2525901, Score: 95.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: non_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2735698, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1624108.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Justin Holiday, Player Id: 73ee9874-da9c-4d6f-aa4a-f4b89a297739, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 1358064.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons:
Cap Flexibility
20% overall weight · starting 46.4
47.2

Cap & Flexibility combines four cap-state metrics; Future Flexibility is strongest at 71.11680204357626, while Current Cap Position is weakest at 22.969095757575758.

Current Cap Position
20% pillar weight
23.0

Current Cap Position scores the between-aprons zone using its engine-calculated threshold cushion relative to the season's salary cap.

Inputs
Salary Cap
165000000
Supporting values
Cap Room
0
Financial Zone
between_aprons
First Apron Cushion
-2300496
Second Apron Cushion
10699504
Second Apron Excess
0
Tax Cushion
-7023713
Tax Apron Exposure
30% pillar weight
43.3

Tax & Apron Exposure scores the between-aprons zone using the projected engine tax bill and recorded repeater assumption.

Inputs
Financial Zone
between_aprons
Projected Tax Bill
7354641
Salary Cap
165000000
Tax Bill Ratio
0.0
Supporting values
First Apron Cushion
-2300496
Repeater
Source: default, Value: false
Second Apron Cushion
10699504
Tax Cushion
-7023713
Taxpayer
true
Future Flexibility
30% pillar weight
71.1

Future Flexibility scores unavoidable commitments and dead money over the next three cap-state seasons, weighted 50/30/20.

Inputs
Future Season Count
3
Supporting values
Seasons
Commitment Ratio: 1.1, Commitment Score: 40.1, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 193520332, Salary Cap: 181500000, Score: 52.1, Season: 2027-28, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.7, Commitment Score: 79.5, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 140666190, Salary Cap: 199650000, Score: 83.6, Season: 2028-29, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.5, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 102171420, Salary Cap: 219615000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2029-30, Threshold Source: official
Transaction Flexibility
20% pillar weight
41.6

Transaction Flexibility combines the cap state's usable signing, trade, trade-exception, and roster pathways at AVC's 30/40/20/10 weights.

Inputs
As Of Date
2026-08-17
Largest Usable Signing Mechanism
Amount: 6102000, Description: Up to 6.1M (taxpayer) or 15.1M (non-taxpayer, triggers hard cap), Hard Cap Amount: 209000000, Max Years: 4, Name: Mid-Level Exception, Remaining: 4477892, Taxpayer Threshold: 6102000, Triggers Hard Cap: false, Type: mle, Usable: true
Non Taxpayer Mle
15139000
Supporting values
Roster Maneuverability
85.0
Signing Tools
43.7
Trade Exception Capacity
0.0
Trade Tools
50.0
Asset Management
10% overall weight · starting 42.1
28.4

Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded until PTV is calibrated; the 35/20/20 inventory weights are renormalized to 46.67/26.67/26.67. Asset Optionality is strongest at 34.9, while Pick Quality is weakest at 14.394269201993588.

Draft Capital Value
47% pillar weight
32.6

Draft Capital Value percentiles 238.9660289962859 total DAV across 14 controlled assets against the frozen league inventory.

Inputs
Asset Count
14
Benchmark
113.7, 149.6, 150.2, 156.9, 184.6, 206.1, 217.1, 219.4, 226.9, 230.2, 249.7, 263.1, 266.9, 322.5, 328.3, 351.7, 353.8, 367.9, 377.6, 382.8, 397.1, 404.8, 411.6, 425.8, 472.3, 480.8, 489.2, 559.2, 581.0, 695.3
Total Dav
239.0
Window
First Year: 2027, Last Year: 2033
Supporting values
Assets
Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 32.4, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 32.4, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 01e9a900-271f-4fc4-8548-7da84959cdc6, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 12.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 12.7, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5b15ea68-8384-4626-9777-fcee8bb029a7, Swap Note: ORL more favorable of LAL/WAS; WAS less [LAL-ORL 6/23/2022; LAL-WAS 1/23/2023], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 41.0, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 35.2, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 1.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 1.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: range_part, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 7.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 7.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: 1ab2b119-5443-4a23-bfc0-4a4807745bba, Part Id: 2b78784a-e6f3-4bed-af2b-aadaac5aef54, Pick Id: aa195d7a-55dd-442f-b176-3e7cf5457c7c, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 8.7, Incoming Rollover From: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Inventory Dav: 8.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 7d57e8a3-d4e5-4da8-933f-dc7e917caaeb, Pick Id: 33ab85f9-0082-41d8-9bfc-8f1f1af82199, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 8.0, Dav: 1.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 9.9, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 406fa946-a557-4366-9ebe-a1b3b7975b09, Swap Note: ORL may swap its 2030 2nd for New Orleans' [New Orleans-Orlando 6/27/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 8.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 8a2bb799-7808-4375-b8da-fdd5706d5507, Pick Id: ad42ecb3-26b5-4ed2-a99f-99d1351f1bbc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: 7.4, Dav: 1.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 9.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: d4b54a31-5b17-4045-a323-a24dd779d46c, Swap Note: ORL more favorable of ORL/NOP; OKC the other [New Orleans-Orlando 6/27/2024; New Orleans-Oklahoma City 2/5/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 3d5afbc6-baff-43cf-909e-a0072afe33ee, Pick Id: 731f5925-c0eb-4c9b-a102-c962969d7593, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9f0b5efa-62b3-4ba7-80a4-82c39e8fbbed, Pick Id: fb36bce3-62de-4e68-8979-b10242a5e8e2, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 30.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: e2aa909d-42c9-4656-a53a-ba8dbb04b868, Pick Id: 9673a37a-eaec-4250-8c01-ad616d98b855, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033
By Origin Team
1ab2b119-5443-4a23-bfc0-4a4807745bba: 7.6, C2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5: 123.4, Cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18: 8.6, Swap Pool: 99.3
By Year
2028: 45.0, 2029: 53.3, 2030: 18.5, 2031: 45.3, 2032: 40.0, 2033: 36.8
First Round Dav
169.3
Second Round Dav
69.6
Swap Dav
48.7
Pick Quality
27% pillar weight
14.4

Pick Quality combines frozen-league percentiles for the best asset and top three with 0.8 Premium Asset Units.

Inputs
Best Asset Raw
36.2
Premium Asset Units
0.8
Top Three Raw
35.3
Supporting values
Best Asset
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031
Best Asset Quality
6.6
Premium Asset Inventory
42.0
Top Three Assets
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: 41.0, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 35.2, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 3d5afbc6-baff-43cf-909e-a0072afe33ee, Pick Id: 731f5925-c0eb-4c9b-a102-c962969d7593, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032
Top Three Quality
8.4
Asset Optionality
27% pillar weight
34.9

Asset Optionality combines 1 immediately tradable firsts, 2 clean first-round years, and normalized encumbrance control.

Inputs
Clean First Round Years
2
Encumbrances
Complex Chain: false, Obligations: Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1ab2b119-5443-4a23-bfc0-4a4807745bba, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 23434f94-d107-4f81-b247-359559914c23, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, 6436bc01-87d6-40e9-8034-3d10597c2cc6, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 52874e0b-579e-4a30-8eaf-7a30eef9be18, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 356b0b6b-4ce4-4fe7-a9dd-d4479d032f37, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 7b9088f9-debe-4f95-ab72-cbdd79d5c9da, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2029, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: swap_owed, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Protected?: true, Retained Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2029, Affected Years: 2030, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 8f835b23-dead-4751-be20-7efc21079098, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2030, Owed First Years: 2027, 2028, 2030, Owed Second Years: 2027, 2028, Owed Swaps: 1, Rollover Risk Years:
Tradable First Capacity
1
Supporting values
Calendar Flexibility
30.0
Capacity
Assets: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2033, Candidates: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2031, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 3d5afbc6-baff-43cf-909e-a0072afe33ee, Pick Id: 731f5925-c0eb-4c9b-a102-c962969d7593, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2033, Capacity: 1, Conditional: , Frozen: , Partial Rights: Chain: Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: —, Pick Id: 33ab85f9-0082-41d8-9bfc-8f1f1af82199, Pick Number: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Retained Range: —, Round: 2, Year: 2029, Chain Role: obligation, Convey Type: rolls_to, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: range_part, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 2, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2029, Reserved Years: 2031, 2032, Swap Rights: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 727b0a5c-b47f-43a5-bfaa-0b6a493eae0e, Part Id: 5d958674-9501-459b-a22b-f9d74f6a7dae, Pick Id: 0f5e0924-b8e7-4ff3-be0f-4b654f4391a8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: 2d1da5e6-35f3-45aa-a954-ef7226b1ef02, Part Id: a705875b-5302-4ac4-a092-da87db8d3763, Pick Id: e4aba0cb-f9f5-423c-95ac-0fe58f1b1b1e, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2028, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 2, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 01e9a900-271f-4fc4-8548-7da84959cdc6, Swap Note: Backfilled from pairwise swap, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2028, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Part Id: f5046585-7669-482a-a2fe-0e3be0b12fed, Pick Id: 94e2cc65-25cf-473c-8e5c-b879d87e42d8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 5672ebf6-ee4d-4fc4-97e1-733049009f96, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 3, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 2, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2029, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1
Clean Years
Count: 2, Detail: 2027: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2028: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 1, 2029: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 1, Status: partial, Swap Rights: 1, 2030: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2031: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: stepien_blocked, Swap Rights: 0, 2032: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2033: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1, Years: 2032, 2033
Encumbrance Control
42.0
Tradable First Capacity
35.0
Asset Exchange Value
0% pillar weight
15.9

Asset Exchange Value scored 3 qualifying transactions provisionally because player valuation calibration or frozen component evidence is incomplete.

Inputs
Total Scale
75.4
Transaction Count
3
Supporting values
Transactions
Acceptance Multiplier: 0.6, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 7fc17c19-7fa1-433e-aa1b-2928a22fc3c4, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: draft_asset, 6ea80e08-c9ea-44f3-8a2c-af67e8a39d51, 029a9cd4-08ed-4da1-9530-7255ee65b5ac, Type: draft_asset, Value: 0.0, Direction: incoming, Id: part, 2b78784a-e6f3-4bed-af2b-aadaac5aef54, Type: draft_asset, Value: 7.6, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 7ad1eda3-e8b3-4341-894a-71f72cb193c2, Incoming Effective Value: 7.6, Incoming Value: 7.6, Net Advantage: 7.6, Normalized Imbalance: 0.3, Outgoing Effective Value: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly favorable based on package-equivalent market value. Because the return falls outside the normal acceptance range, the counterparty acceptance curve reduces its Asset Exchange score., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 47.9, Uncapped Score: 79.2, Acceptance Multiplier: 0.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 0d42e4d2-2fc2-4a00-9980-40b817b3760c, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: incoming, Id: swap_outcome, 01e9a900-271f-4fc4-8548-7da84959cdc6, 2, Type: draft_asset, Value: 32.4, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 08536fab-2aa1-428e-bf7c-f5e20823dbfa, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 3a777a64-f445-48e6-aaaa-3ca36b5872f2, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: 777972e7-e9a7-42ae-a747-768450f28e74, Incoming Effective Value: 32.4, Incoming Value: 32.4, Net Advantage: 32.4, Normalized Imbalance: 1.3, Outgoing Effective Value: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly favorable based on package-equivalent market value. Because the return falls outside the normal acceptance range, the counterparty acceptance curve reduces its Asset Exchange score., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 100.0, Acceptance Multiplier: 0.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Direction: outgoing, Id: part, bf283b02-a70f-41db-b9e5-0ffcbdb153d4, Type: draft_asset, Value: 50.8, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: draft_asset, 6ea80e08-c9ea-44f3-8a2c-af67e8a39d51, 029a9cd4-08ed-4da1-9530-7255ee65b5ac, Type: draft_asset, Value: 0.0, Id: ddbdbe1a-9a51-480f-9e8b-09e74db61dcd, Incoming Effective Value: 0.0, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: -50.8, Normalized Imbalance: -2.0, Outgoing Effective Value: 50.8, Outgoing Value: 50.8, Plausibility Explanation: This transaction appears highly unfavorable based on estimated market value. It falls outside the normal market range, but its Asset Exchange score is already at the lower end of the scale., Plausibility Flagged?: true, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.4, Score: 0.0, Uncapped Score: 0.0
Fallback: Player or transaction valuation is uncalibrated; Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded from the pillar score.
Timeline Alignment
20% overall weight · starting 88.7
88.2

Timeline Alignment applies Retool's targets; Development Environment is strongest and Prime Window Alignment is weakest.

Core Age Fit
30% pillar weight
90.3

Core players are scored against Retool's ideal age range.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Supporting values
Ideal Core Age
Max: 29, Min: 23
Penalty Above
12
Penalty Below
8
Players
Age: 24, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Score: 100.0, Age: 28, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Score: 100.0, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Score: 100.0, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Score: 100.0, Age: 35, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Score: 28.0
Prime Window Alignment
25% pillar weight
71.3

Prime Window Alignment combines mandate timing and core synchronization.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Prime Midpoint
27.5
Supporting values
Core Synchronization
54.6
Players
Age: 24, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Prime Timing Offset: 3.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 28, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Prime Timing Offset: -0.5, Window Timing Score: 92.5, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Prime Timing Offset: 4.5, Window Timing Score: 85.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Prime Timing Offset: 4.5, Window Timing Score: 85.0, Age: 35, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Prime Timing Offset: -7.5, Window Timing Score: 0.0
Prime Offset Range
Max: 3.5, Min: 0.0
Prime Timing Spread
3.9
Window Timing
80.3
Core Continuity
25% pillar weight
94.9

Core Continuity measures franchise control through the 3-season mandate window.

Inputs
Continuity Horizon
3
Mandate
retool
Supporting values
Overall Core Control
92.6
Players
Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 1.0, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 41754690, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 41754690, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44847630, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44847630, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 47940570, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 47940570, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 39446090, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 39446090, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 42166510, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 42166510, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44886930, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44886930, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 41240250, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 41240250, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44539470, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44539470, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 47838690, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 47838690, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 98.3, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 18102000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 18102000, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 19550160, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 19550160, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 20998320, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 20998320, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 90.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 3658560, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 3658560, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 5641500, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 5641500, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: none, Control Factor: 0.8, Estimated: true, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Estimated restricted (D-17): expiring rookie-scale contract (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2028-29, Source: free_agency, Status: rfa_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 009873ad-ebd1-46c4-a02f-e4ff6f82caa6, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 28.0, Continuity Score: 33.3, Core Importance Value: 0.7, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 2449421, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 2449421, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: non_bird, Control Factor: 0.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Unrestricted, no meaningful retention rights (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2027-28, Source: free_agency, Status: ufa_no_rights, Team Controlled: false, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 0.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Free agency reached in 2027-28; no rights beyond it, Salary: —, Season: 2028-29, Source: none, Status: none, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1
Top End Control
100.0
Fallback: Control status for 2028-29 uses the documented RFA estimate.
Development Environment
20% pillar weight
97.8

Development Environment balances mandate-appropriate youth minutes, veterans, and meaningful young roles.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Rotation Minutes
240
Supporting values
Developmental Role Distribution
100.0
Established Veteran Count
3
Meaningful Young Role Count
4
Targets
Veteran Count: Max: 5, Min: 2, Young Minute Share: Max: 0.4, Min: 0.2, Young Roles: Max: 5, Min: 2
Veteran Infrastructure
100.0
Young Minute Share
0.4
Young Player Opportunity
95.0
Young Rotation Minutes
102
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