2026-27 The league's active season — trades, cap positions, and scenarios are computed against it.
Orlando Magic

Magic Miracle — GM Grade

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D+

AVC GM Grade

69/100

Retool mandate

Front-office assessment

Against the Retool mandate, cap flexibility is the clearest gain, while asset management is the main cost.

What the mandate rewards

The Retool mandate benefits from more present strength, but the loss of future assets makes the long-term balance less secure.

Positive takeaways

  • Cap Flexibility: The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules.
  • Competitive Strength: The roster projects to provide more immediate on-court strength.
  • Roster Construction: The roster has a better mix of coverage, skills, and usable depth.

Areas for improvement

  • Asset Management: The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value.

Pillar scores

See how the final roster changed across the six parts of the GM grade.

Competitive Strength
Improved · Δ +11.1
58.4

The roster projects to provide more immediate on-court strength. The clearest supporting improvement is Starting Five. Competitive Strength moved +11.1 points from the inherited state.

Roster Construction
Improved · Δ +6.2
74.0

The roster has a better mix of coverage, skills, and usable depth. The clearest supporting improvement is Roster Completeness. Roster Construction moved +6.2 points from the inherited state.

Contract Health
Improved · Δ +1.1
65.2

The contract structure is healthier and carries less value risk. The clearest supporting improvement is Contract Optionality. Contract Health moved +1.1 points from the inherited state.

Cap Flexibility
Improved · Δ +23.6
70.0

The team has more room to maneuver under the cap and apron rules. The clearest supporting improvement is Transaction Flexibility. Cap Flexibility moved +23.6 points from the inherited state.

Asset Management
Declined · Δ -2.6
39.4

The organization spends or loses some player and draft asset value. Asset Management moved -2.6 points from the inherited state.

Timeline Alignment
Improved · Δ +3.5
92.1

The roster now fits the mandate's competitive window more closely. The clearest supporting improvement is Prime Window Alignment. Timeline Alignment moved +3.5 points from the inherited state.

Advanced details

Weights, metric calculations, supporting values, fallbacks, and progression methodology

For expert review

Score calculation

Each pillar score is multiplied by its mandate weight to produce the base score. Plausibility penalties and caps are then applied to produce the authoritative final grade.

Starting weighted score
61.3
Base score
69.3
Plausibility penalty
0.0
Final score
69.3

Scenario Progression

not applicable

Product v0 does not apply this curve outside a Lab-only experiment.

Canonical Final GM Grade

69.3

Authoritative score

No Progression adjustment is applied.

Retool is not applicable in product v0; only a Lab-only longitudinal experiment may apply its curve.

The multiplier remains 1.0; the canonical Final GM Grade remains authoritative.

The state comparison neutralizes Asset Exchange Value (AEV) to 50 and excludes transaction plausibility on both sides. AEV and plausibility still remain part of the canonical Final GM Grade where applicable.

Pillar and metric calculations

Expand a pillar and metric to inspect its frozen calculation inputs.

Competitive Strength
15% overall weight · starting 47.3
58.4

Competitive Strength combines four frozen-rotation metrics; Starting Five Quality is strongest at 65.21176652934491, while Star Power is weakest at 49.94250343224377.

Star Power
30% pillar weight
49.9

The top three Star Power contributions come from Ty Jerome, Franz Wagner, Desmond Bane.

Inputs
Benchmark
-0.5, -0.4, -0.1, 0.5, 0.9, 1.2, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 2.2, 2.2, 2.2, 2.4, 2.5, 2.5, 2.9, 3.1, 3.2, 3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 4.0, 4.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7, 4.8, 5.8, 5.8, 7.3
Eligible Player Count
13
Raw
2.7
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
30
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 28, Availability: 1.0, Contribution: 3.1, Expected Games: 82, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 0.9, Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 2.5, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 1.8, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Starting Five
25% pillar weight
65.2

Starting Five Quality combines equal contributions from Desmond Bane, Wendell Carter Jr., Ty Jerome, Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner.

Inputs
Benchmark
-8.7, -7.3, -4.2, -1.0, -0.7, -0.6, -0.5, 0.0, 0.7, 1.9, 5.1, 5.8, 6.0, 6.4, 6.5, 7.0, 7.2, 7.2, 7.7, 9.0, 9.7, 9.9, 11.4, 11.5, 12.2, 12.2, 12.5, 13.2, 13.4, 22.3
Designated Starter Count
5
Raw
8.9
Replacement Value
-1.5
Role Factor Minutes
28
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 1.8, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 1.1, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 1.1, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 28, Availability: 1.0, Contribution: 3.3, Expected Games: 82, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 0.3, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0, Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 2.5, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false, Role Factor: 1.0
Rotation Quality
30% pillar weight
62.5

Rotation Quality averages fatigue-adjusted impact across 13 rotation players and 240 assigned minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Benchmark
-1.9, -1.7, -1.0, -1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.8, -0.7, -0.7, -0.7, 0.3, 0.3, 0.6, 0.6, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.3, 1.3, 1.3, 1.4, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6, 1.7, 2.3, 2.8
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Raw
1.0
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Epm: 0.9, Assigned Minutes: 8, Contribution: 7.6, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.7, Assigned Minutes: 8, Contribution: -13.4, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 54.0, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 10, Contribution: 3.2, Effective Minutes: 10.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.5, Assigned Minutes: 25, Contribution: 13.5, Effective Minutes: 25.0, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.0, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: -14.1, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.7, Assigned Minutes: 14, Contribution: 9.7, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -2.8, Assigned Minutes: 8, Contribution: -22.2, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 1.1, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 31.5, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 3.3, Assigned Minutes: 28, Availability: 1.0, Contribution: 91.8, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Expected Games: 82, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 0.3, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 8.7, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: -1.5, Assigned Minutes: 5, Availability: 1.0, Contribution: -7.7, Effective Minutes: 5.0, Expected Games: 82, Name: Jaden Ivey, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Epm: 2.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Contribution: 74.4, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false
Two Way Balance
15% pillar weight
55.5

Two-Way Balance weights the weaker defense side at 70% across 240 assigned rotation minutes.

Inputs
Assigned Minutes
240
Defense Benchmark
-0.9, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5, -0.4, -0.3, -0.0, 0.0, 0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.9
Denominator Minutes
240
Effective Minutes
240.0
Offense Benchmark
-1.0, -0.9, -0.8, -0.6, -0.5, -0.3, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1, 1.4, 1.5, 1.6
Rotation Depm
0.1
Rotation Oepm
0.9
Supporting values
Contributions
Adjusted Depm: 0.9, Adjusted Oepm: 0.0, Assigned Minutes: 8, Defensive Contribution: 7.6, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Goga Bitadze, Offensive Contribution: 0.0, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.6, Adjusted Oepm: -1.1, Assigned Minutes: 8, Defensive Contribution: -4.8, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Offensive Contribution: -8.6, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: 1.8, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -1.5, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Offensive Contribution: 55.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 0.8, Assigned Minutes: 10, Defensive Contribution: -4.5, Effective Minutes: 10.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Offensive Contribution: 7.7, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.1, Adjusted Oepm: 0.5, Assigned Minutes: 25, Defensive Contribution: 1.8, Effective Minutes: 25.0, Name: Reed Sheppard, Offensive Contribution: 11.5, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.1, Adjusted Oepm: -1.0, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: -1.0, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Offensive Contribution: -13.3, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 1.2, Assigned Minutes: 14, Defensive Contribution: -7.6, Effective Minutes: 14.0, Name: Obi Toppin, Offensive Contribution: 17.3, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.7, Adjusted Oepm: -2.1, Assigned Minutes: 8, Defensive Contribution: -5.7, Effective Minutes: 8.0, Name: Noah Penda, Offensive Contribution: -16.4, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 1.2, Adjusted Oepm: -0.2, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: 37.2, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Offensive Contribution: -5.7, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.5, Adjusted Oepm: 3.8, Assigned Minutes: 28, Availability: 1.0, Defensive Contribution: -13.4, Effective Minutes: 28.0, Expected Games: 82, Name: Ty Jerome, Offensive Contribution: 105.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.2, Adjusted Oepm: 0.5, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: -5.4, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Offensive Contribution: 14.1, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: -0.8, Adjusted Oepm: -0.7, Assigned Minutes: 5, Availability: 1.0, Defensive Contribution: -4.2, Effective Minutes: 5.0, Expected Games: 82, Name: Jaden Ivey, Offensive Contribution: -3.5, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Replacement?: false, Adjusted Depm: 0.8, Adjusted Oepm: 1.6, Assigned Minutes: 30, Defensive Contribution: 25.2, Effective Minutes: 30.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Offensive Contribution: 49.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Replacement?: false
Defensive Strength
44.0
Offensive Strength
82.5
Roster Construction
15% overall weight · starting 67.9
74.0

Roster Construction combines four full-roster metrics; Position Coverage is strongest at 100.0, while Skill Coverage is weakest at 32.51097452957616.

Roster Completeness
15% pillar weight
95.0

Roster Completeness scores 14 standard contracts and 3 of 3 available two-way slots.

Inputs
Maximum Standard Roster
15
Maximum Two Way Contracts
3
Minimum Standard Roster
14
Standard Count
14
Two Way Count
3
Supporting values
Standard Roster Score
90.0
Two Way Bonus
5.0
Position Coverage
25% pillar weight
100.0

Position Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-position average and 30% to the weakest listed position.

Inputs
Average Position Score
100.0
Coverage Units
C: 3.0, Pf: 2.7, Pg: 2.6, Sf: 2.0, Sg: 2.9
Weakest Position Score
100.0
Supporting values
C
100.0
Pf
100.0
Pg
100.0
Sf
100.0
Sg
100.0
Fallback: Colin Castleton has no season-minutes sample, so no C coverage credit was invented.
Fallback: Alex Morales has no season-minutes sample, so no SG coverage credit was invented.
Fallback: Izaiyah Nelson has no season-minutes sample, so no C coverage credit was invented.
Skill Coverage
35% pillar weight
32.5

Skill Coverage gives 70% weight to the five-skill average and 30% to the weakest roster-wide capability.

Inputs
Average Skill Score
39.3
Ranked Player Indexes
Defense: 81.8, 75.4, 72.8, 68.9, Playmaking: 80.6, 74.8, Rebounding: 92.3, 88.7, 81.2, Rim Protection: 93.4, 71.5, Shooting: 79.7, 73.5, 66.9, 65.3, 64.4
Team Raw Scores
Defense: 76.1, Playmaking: 78.6, Rebounding: 89.0, Rim Protection: 86.8, Shooting: 71.9
Weakest Skill Score
16.6
Supporting values
Defense
35.4
Playmaking
16.6
Rebounding
62.1
Rim Protection
42.7
Shooting
40.1
Functional Depth
25% pillar weight
93.6

Functional Depth combines position depth (35%), skill redundancy (40%), and skill concentration (25%) across the entire roster.

Inputs
Position Depth
Average Score: 88.4, Scores: C: 90.4, Pf: 83.0, Pg: 94.3, Sf: 90.7, Sg: 83.3, Units: C: 4.0, Pf: 4.5, Pg: 3.6, Sf: 3.9, Sg: 4.4, Weakest Score: 83.0
Skill Concentration
Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 100.0, Shooting: 100.0, Top Player Shares: Defense: 0.4, Playmaking: 0.4, Rebounding: 0.4, Rim Protection: 0.4, Shooting: 0.4
Skill Redundancy
Average Score: 98.0, Qualified Index Threshold: 60.0, Scores: Defense: 100.0, Playmaking: 100.0, Rebounding: 100.0, Rim Protection: 90.0, Shooting: 100.0, Units: Defense: 4.0, Playmaking: 7.4, Rebounding: 5.7, Rim Protection: 3.0, Shooting: 5.4, Weakest Score: 90.0
Supporting values
Position Depth
86.7
Skill Concentration
100.0
Skill Redundancy
95.6
Fallback: Colin Castleton has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Fallback: Alex Morales has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Fallback: Izaiyah Nelson has no season-minutes sample, so no position-depth or qualified-provider credit was invented.
Contract Health
20% overall weight · starting 64.1
65.2

Contract Health combines four final-roster contract metrics; Long-Term Risk is strongest at 93.48972047560282, while Contract Value is weakest at 50.02109028250389.

Contract Value
35% pillar weight
50.0

Contract Value compares confidence-adjusted market salary with actual salary across 17 active contracts, weighted by discounted remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Discounted Remaining Salary
625716772.7
Supporting values
Best Contracts
Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 92.8, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 86.2, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Deficit: 10556528, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 38590108, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 31206084, Salary: 41754690, Score: 46.2, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -3164582, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42006977, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 34326692, Salary: 44847630, Score: 46.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2840653, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45466536, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 37759362, Salary: 47940570, Score: 47.4, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -2474034, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 48956251, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 41535298, Salary: 51033510, Score: 48.0, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: -2077259, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2030-31, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Deficit: 9399166, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 47.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 38768632, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 33001523, Salary: 41240250, Score: 47.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -2471618, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42315265, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 36301675, Salary: 44539470, Score: 47.5, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2224205, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45917326, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 39931843, Salary: 47838690, Score: 48.0, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -1921364, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 49560452, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 43925027, Salary: 51137910, Score: 48.5, Season: 2029-30, Surplus: -1577458, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 53232609, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 48317530, Salary: 54437130, Score: 48.9, Season: 2030-31, Surplus: -1204521, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Deficit: 7390436, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 36887578, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 30917715, Salary: 39446090, Score: 46.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -2558512, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 39688637, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 32989202, Salary: 42166510, Score: 47.1, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -2477873, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42532879, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 35199478, Salary: 44886930, Score: 47.4, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -2354051, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Projected Deficit: 232429, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 49.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17969228, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 17659425, Salary: 18102000, Score: 49.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -132772, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 19516466, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 19425368, Salary: 19550160, Score: 49.9, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -33694, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 20932357, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 20726867, Salary: 20998320, Score: 49.8, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: -65963, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29422500, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Projected Deficit: 1753458, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 47.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 14108270, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 12027567, Salary: 15000000, Score: 47.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: -891730, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 15163272, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 12833414, Salary: 16025000, Score: 47.3, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -861728, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23746342.5, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Projected Deficit: 279244, Projected Surplus: 111481, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 49.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 11220361, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 11480484, Salary: 11108880, Score: 50.5, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 111481, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 13762381, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: 13007388, Salary: 14041625, Score: 49.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -279244, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 49583387, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 86.2, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 34464601, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 51294301, Salary: 9220050, Score: 86.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 25244551, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Confidence: 0.5, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 54731019, Salary: 9659100, Score: 85.8, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 24338836, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 7608696.0, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 85328, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.6, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 7694024, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 7750910, Salary: 7608696, Score: 50.6, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 85328, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3991200, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 6138466, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3132360, Score: 75.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 3282000, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Expected: —, Salary: 5910882, Score: 75.0, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Name: Jaden Ivey, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 342702, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 56.1, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 2794835, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: no_active_contract_season, Expected: 3594472, Salary: 2452133, Score: 56.1, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 342702, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 1042011, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 64.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 3491432, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 5922791, Salary: 2449421, Score: 64.9, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 1042011, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 14600410, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 92.8, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 17049831, Confidence: 0.6, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Expected: 26783437, Salary: 2449421, Score: 92.8, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 14600410, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Projected Deficit: 23641, Projected Surplus: 6905, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 49.9, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 2151275, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2152111, Salary: 2150917, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 358, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2502260, Confidence: 0.3, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2438342, Salary: 2525901, Score: 49.5, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: -23641, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2742245, Confidence: 0.2, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Expected: 2762641, Salary: 2735698, Score: 50.1, Season: 2028-29, Surplus: 6547, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Name: Alex Morales, Player Id: cc340bb2-61bb-46b9-8d9c-21adbeb44a98, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2026-27, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Season: 2027-28, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1323480.9, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Projected Deficit: 0, Projected Surplus: 0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 678882, Score: 50.0, Season: 2026-27, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: —, Confidence: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: two_way_deal, Expected: —, Salary: 716221, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Surplus: 0, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_expected_salary
Total Projected Deficit
29634902
Total Projected Surplus
65772224
Worst Contracts
Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 47.0, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 47.2
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline; missing production does not create projected overpayment.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one remaining non-rookie season; the player's Contract Value is neutral at 50.
Long Term Risk
30% pillar weight
93.5

Long-Term Risk measures 18279595.4 weighted dollars of projected overpayment across 4 frozen future salary-cap seasons.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Evaluated Seasons
2027-28, 2028-29, 2029-30, 2030-31
Future Risk Burden
0.0
Projected Cap Denominator
842341500
Supporting values
At Risk Dollars
18279595.4
Players
Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Exposure: 6729090.8, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Overpayment: 7391946, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 42006977, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2840653.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2840653, Salary: 44847630, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45466536, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2226630.6, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 2474034, Salary: 47940570, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 48956251, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1661807.2, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 2077259, Salary: 51033510, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2029-30, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2030-31, Exposure: 6058563.7, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Overpayment: 6927548, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 42315265, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2224205.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2224205, Salary: 44539470, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 45917326, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1729227.6, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 1921364, Salary: 47838690, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 49560452, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 1261966.4, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.8, Projected Overpayment: 1577458, Salary: 51137910, Score: —, Season: 2029-30, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 53232609, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 843164.7, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.7, Projected Overpayment: 1204521, Salary: 54437130, Score: —, Season: 2030-31, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 4596518.9, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Overpayment: 4831924, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 39688637, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2477873.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 2477873, Salary: 42166510, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 42532879, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 2118645.9, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 2354051, Salary: 44886930, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 33694.0, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Projected Overpayment: 99657, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 19516466, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 33694.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 33694, Salary: 19550160, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 20932357, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 65963, Salary: 20998320, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 861728.0, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Projected Overpayment: 861728, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 15163272, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 861728.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 861728, Salary: 16025000, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Projected Overpayment: 279244, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 13762381, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: uncorroborated_rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 279244, Salary: 14041625, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 33997936, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: non_rookie_signing_type, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 1.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 9659100, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Exposure: 0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 6138466, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 75.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 3282000, Score: 75.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: true, Classification: active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: contract_signing_type, Reason: rookie_scale_signing_type, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 5910882, Score: 75.0, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: rookie_scale_baseline, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jaden Ivey, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2027-28, Result: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Season: 2028-29, Exposure: 0.0, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Projected Overpayment: 23641, Score: —, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: 2502260, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 23641, Salary: 2525901, Score: —, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Adjusted Expected: 2742245, Contract Classification: Active Standard Rookie Scale?: false, Classification: not_active_standard_rookie_scale, Method: none, Reason: second_round_contract, Exposure: 0.0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 0.9, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 2735698, Score: —, Season: 2028-29, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Alex Morales, Player Id: cc340bb2-61bb-46b9-8d9c-21adbeb44a98, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: —, Seasons: , Valuation Available?: true, Valuation Method: expected_salary, Contract Classifications: , Exposure: 0, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Projected Overpayment: 0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Adjusted Expected: —, Contract Classification: —, Exposure: 0, Exposure Factor: 0.0, Future Weight: 1.0, Projected Overpayment: 0, Salary: 716221, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Valuation Method: neutral_unavailable_input, Valuation Available?: false, Valuation Method: expected_salary
Riskiest Season
Exposure: 8438153.0, Season: 2027-28
Seasons
2027-28: 8438153.0, 2028-29: 6074504.1, 2029-30: 2923773.6, 2030-31: 843164.7
Top Exposure Players
Exposure: 6729090.8, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Projected Overpayment: 7391946, Exposure: 6058563.7, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Projected Overpayment: 6927548, Exposure: 4596518.9, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Projected Overpayment: 4831924
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Fallback: Active standard rookie-scale seasons use the strong 75.0-point structural baseline and contribute no projected overpayment.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable for at least one future contract season; that season contributes no invented downside exposure and the player is recorded neutral at 50.
Contract Mobility
20% pillar weight
56.7

Contract Mobility blends marketability, salary-matching utility, term, and stored trade restrictions across 17 active contracts, including the least-mobile 25% of guaranteed remaining salary.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
625716772.7
Guaranteed Remaining Salary
674350718.0
Low Mobility Exposure
52.6
Salary Cap
165000000
Weighted Mobility Average
58.4
Supporting values
Least Movable
Marketability: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 52.2, Term Utility: 65.0, Marketability: 47.9, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 54.0, Term Utility: 35.0, Marketability: 47.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 55.7, Term Utility: 50.0
Most Movable
Marketability: 92.8, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 88.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Marketability: 86.2, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 78.3, Term Utility: 85.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 185576400, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 4, Marketability: 47.0, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 55.7, Term Utility: 50.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 239193450.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 5, Marketability: 47.9, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 54.0, Term Utility: 35.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 126499530.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 3, Marketability: 47.0, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: significant_trade_bonus, Salary Utility: 80.0, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 52.2, Term Utility: 65.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 37652160.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 49.8, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 67.6, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29422500, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 31025000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 47.2, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 100.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 66.0, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23746342.5, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 11108880.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 49.8, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 67.4, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 18879150.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 2, Marketability: 86.2, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Restriction Modifier: 0.9, Restrictions: player_option, Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 78.3, Term Utility: 85.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 7608696.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 7608696.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.6, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 67.8, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3991200, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 90.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 82.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 3132360.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 75.0, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 77.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 56.1, Name: Jaden Ivey, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 66.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 64.9, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 71.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 92.8, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 88.2, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 2150917.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 49.9, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.4, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: true, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 91000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 0.0, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 0, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Alex Morales, Player Id: cc340bb2-61bb-46b9-8d9c-21adbeb44a98, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false, Discounted Remaining Salary: 1323480.9, Guaranteed Remaining Salary: 91000, Guaranteed Years Remaining: 1, Marketability: 50.0, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Restriction Modifier: 1.0, Restrictions: , Salary Utility: 70.0, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 62.5, Term Utility: 100.0, Valuation Available?: false
Salary Below 40
0
Useful Mid Sized Contracts
6
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: no_trade_clause was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Fallback: Expected salary was unavailable; Contract Mobility marketability is neutral at 50.
Fallback: trade_bonus_pct was not stored; no Contract Mobility restriction was applied.
Contract Optionality
15% pillar weight
55.4

Contract Optionality scores future team control across 17 active contracts, weighted by future salary within each contract and discounted remaining salary across the roster.

Inputs
Active Contract Count
17
Current Season
2026-27
Discounted Remaining Salary
625716772.7
Supporting values
Expiring Contract Count
6
Least Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 20.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0
Most Optional
Expiring?: false, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0
Players
Discounted Remaining Salary: 156193470.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Franz Wagner, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44847630, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 47940570, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 51033510, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 188055540.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Paolo Banchero, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Salary Weight: 0.3, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44539470, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 47838690, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 51137910, Score: 50.0, Season: 2029-30, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 54437130, Score: 50.0, Season: 2030-31, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 113305493.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Desmond Bane, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Salary Weight: 0.2, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 42166510, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 44886930, Score: 50.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 52495800, Expiring?: false, Name: Wendell Carter Jr., Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Salary Weight: 0.1, Score: 75.9, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 19550160, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 20998320, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 29422500, Expiring?: false, Name: Obi Toppin, Player Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 16025000, Score: 50.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: fully_guaranteed, Discounted Remaining Salary: 23746342.5, Expiring?: false, Name: Reed Sheppard, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 14041625, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 17913240.0, Expiring?: false, Name: Ty Jerome, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 20.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 9659100, Score: 20.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: player_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 7608696.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Goga Bitadze, Player Id: 0fd236c9-8dbb-4924-be29-2d10ce4caa03, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 9515819.4, Expiring?: false, Name: Tristan Da Silva, Player Id: 76f96a69-23ce-47d3-9f76-26c2fd565784, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 6138466, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 10814865.6, Expiring?: false, Name: Jase Richardson, Player Id: 28114f73-4ce4-4394-a788-9dfecae17e51, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 100.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 3282000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: team_option, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 5910882, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 2452133.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jaden Ivey, Player Id: f88dc666-f593-4fda-8660-e7bf49667938, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Jevon Carter, Player Id: a3dfe147-813d-495e-87a1-c9aee7bee410, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 2449421.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Nikola Vucevic, Player Id: 3096dd53-a2b6-43c5-99be-230bfb5e6a96, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 6612786.3, Expiring?: false, Name: Noah Penda, Player Id: bff27bed-b902-4ad8-9d4a-131749f7d7e5, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 97.6, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2525901, Score: 95.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: non_guaranteed, Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 2735698, Score: 100.0, Season: 2028-29, Status: team_option, Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Colin Castleton, Player Id: 47a6e00e-6cd4-4216-914b-815ee17d8e28, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 678882.0, Expiring?: true, Name: Alex Morales, Player Id: cc340bb2-61bb-46b9-8d9c-21adbeb44a98, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 50.0, Seasons: , Discounted Remaining Salary: 1323480.9, Expiring?: false, Name: Izaiyah Nelson, Player Id: 3e89f509-2875-40ff-ad87-17bfa43b7caf, Salary Weight: 0.0, Score: 95.0, Seasons: Guaranteed Pct: —, Salary: 716221, Score: 95.0, Season: 2027-28, Status: non_guaranteed
Cap Flexibility
20% overall weight · starting 46.4
70.0

Cap & Flexibility combines four cap-state metrics; Transaction Flexibility is strongest at 87.11049276702556, while Current Cap Position is weakest at 31.083505454545456.

Current Cap Position
20% pillar weight
31.1

Current Cap Position scores the taxpayer, below-first-apron zone using its engine-calculated threshold cushion relative to the season's salary cap.

Inputs
Salary Cap
165000000
Supporting values
Cap Room
0
Financial Zone
taxpayer_below_first_apron
First Apron Cushion
893892
Second Apron Cushion
13893892
Second Apron Excess
0
Tax Cushion
-4923394
Tax Apron Exposure
30% pillar weight
78.5

Tax & Apron Exposure scores the taxpayer, below-first-apron zone using the projected engine tax bill and recorded repeater assumption.

Inputs
Financial Zone
taxpayer_below_first_apron
Projected Tax Bill
4923394
Salary Cap
165000000
Tax Bill Ratio
0.0
Supporting values
First Apron Cushion
893892
Repeater
Source: default, Value: false
Second Apron Cushion
13893892
Tax Cushion
-4923394
Taxpayer
true
Future Flexibility
30% pillar weight
76.1

Future Flexibility scores unavoidable commitments and dead money over the next three cap-state seasons, weighted 50/30/20.

Inputs
Future Season Count
3
Supporting values
Seasons
Commitment Ratio: 1.0, Commitment Score: 52.6, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 176787870, Salary Cap: 181500000, Score: 62.1, Season: 2027-28, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.7, Commitment Score: 79.5, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 140666190, Salary Cap: 199650000, Score: 83.6, Season: 2028-29, Threshold Source: official, Commitment Ratio: 0.5, Commitment Score: 100.0, Dead Money: 0, Dead Money Ratio: 0.0, Dead Money Score: 100.0, Effective Committed Salary: 102171420, Salary Cap: 219615000, Score: 100.0, Season: 2029-30, Threshold Source: official
Transaction Flexibility
20% pillar weight
87.1

Transaction Flexibility combines the cap state's usable signing, trade, trade-exception, and roster pathways at AVC's 30/40/20/10 weights.

Inputs
As Of Date
2026-08-17
Largest Usable Signing Mechanism
Amount: 15139000, Description: Up to 6.1M (taxpayer) or 15.1M (non-taxpayer, triggers hard cap), Hard Cap Amount: 209000000, Max Years: 4, Name: Mid-Level Exception, Remaining: 15139000, Taxpayer Threshold: 6102000, Triggers Hard Cap: false, Type: mle, Usable: true
Non Taxpayer Mle
15139000
Supporting values
Roster Maneuverability
92.5
Signing Tools
100.0
Trade Exception Capacity
39.3
Trade Tools
100.0
Asset Management
10% overall weight · starting 42.1
39.4

Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded until PTV is calibrated; the 35/20/20 inventory weights are renormalized to 46.67/26.67/26.67. Pick Quality is strongest at 49.62068965517241, while Draft Capital Value is weakest at 34.48275862068966.

Draft Capital Value
47% pillar weight
34.5

Draft Capital Value percentiles 249.72286264099063 total DAV across 13 controlled assets against the frozen league inventory.

Inputs
Asset Count
13
Benchmark
113.7, 149.6, 150.2, 156.9, 184.6, 206.1, 217.1, 219.4, 226.9, 230.2, 249.7, 263.1, 266.9, 322.5, 328.3, 351.7, 353.8, 367.9, 377.6, 382.8, 397.1, 404.8, 411.6, 425.8, 472.3, 480.8, 489.2, 559.2, 581.0, 695.3
Total Dav
249.7
Window
First Year: 2027, Last Year: 2033
Supporting values
Assets
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 50.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 50.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: bf283b02-a70f-41db-b9e5-0ffcbdb153d4, Pick Id: 23434f94-d107-4f81-b247-359559914c23, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: 0.0, Dav: 12.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 12.7, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 5b15ea68-8384-4626-9777-fcee8bb029a7, Swap Note: ORL more favorable of LAL/WAS; WAS less [LAL-ORL 6/23/2022; LAL-WAS 1/23/2023], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2028, Baseline Dav: 41.0, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 35.2, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 1.7, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 1.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: range_part, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 8.7, Incoming Rollover From: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Inventory Dav: 8.7, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 7d57e8a3-d4e5-4da8-933f-dc7e917caaeb, Pick Id: 33ab85f9-0082-41d8-9bfc-8f1f1af82199, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2029, Baseline Dav: 8.0, Dav: 1.9, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 9.9, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 406fa946-a557-4366-9ebe-a1b3b7975b09, Swap Note: ORL may swap its 2030 2nd for New Orleans' [New Orleans-Orlando 6/27/2024], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 8.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 8.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18, Part Id: 8a2bb799-7808-4375-b8da-fdd5706d5507, Pick Id: ad42ecb3-26b5-4ed2-a99f-99d1351f1bbc, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2030, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: 7.4, Dav: 1.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 9.1, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 1, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: d4b54a31-5b17-4045-a323-a24dd779d46c, Swap Note: ORL more favorable of ORL/NOP; OKC the other [New Orleans-Orlando 6/27/2024; New Orleans-Oklahoma City 2/5/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 33.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 33.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 3d5afbc6-baff-43cf-909e-a0072afe33ee, Pick Id: 731f5925-c0eb-4c9b-a102-c962969d7593, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9f0b5efa-62b3-4ba7-80a4-82c39e8fbbed, Pick Id: fb36bce3-62de-4e68-8979-b10242a5e8e2, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2032, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 30.6, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 30.6, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 6.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 6.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: e2aa909d-42c9-4656-a53a-ba8dbb04b868, Pick Id: 9673a37a-eaec-4250-8c01-ad616d98b855, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 2, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2033
By Origin Team
C2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5: 174.2, Cd1ba595-02f2-42e8-9488-8bf2090e6a18: 8.6, Swap Pool: 66.9
By Year
2027: 50.8, 2028: 12.7, 2029: 45.7, 2030: 18.5, 2031: 45.3, 2032: 40.0, 2033: 36.8
First Round Dav
187.7
Second Round Dav
62.0
Swap Dav
16.3
Pick Quality
27% pillar weight
49.6

Pick Quality combines frozen-league percentiles for the best asset and top three with 1.2000000000000002 Premium Asset Units.

Inputs
Best Asset Raw
50.8
Premium Asset Units
1.2
Top Three Raw
43.3
Supporting values
Best Asset
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 50.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 50.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: bf283b02-a70f-41db-b9e5-0ffcbdb153d4, Pick Id: 23434f94-d107-4f81-b247-359559914c23, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027
Best Asset Quality
51.7
Premium Asset Inventory
55.0
Top Three Assets
Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 50.8, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 50.8, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: bf283b02-a70f-41db-b9e5-0ffcbdb153d4, Pick Id: 23434f94-d107-4f81-b247-359559914c23, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2027, Baseline Dav: —, Dav: 36.2, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 36.2, Inventory Std Error: —, Inventory Variance: —, Iterations: —, Kind: whole, Method: exact, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Provisional?: false, Rank: —, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: —, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Variance: —, Year: 2031, Baseline Dav: 41.0, Dav: 0.0, Incoming Rollover From: , Inventory Dav: 35.2, Inventory Std Error: 0.0, Inventory Variance: 0.0, Iterations: —, Kind: swap_outcome, Method: exact, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Provisional?: false, Rank: 2, Round: 1, Seed: —, Std Error: 0.0, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Variance: 0.0, Year: 2029
Top Three Quality
44.8
Asset Optionality
27% pillar weight
37.9

Asset Optionality combines 1 immediately tradable firsts, 2 clean first-round years, and normalized encumbrance control.

Inputs
Clean First Round Years
2
Encumbrances
Complex Chain: false, Obligations: Affected Years: 2027, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, 6436bc01-87d6-40e9-8034-3d10597c2cc6, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 52874e0b-579e-4a30-8eaf-7a30eef9be18, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2027, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: b70f81dc-db00-4f9e-9c03-b454c02c283c, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 356b0b6b-4ce4-4fe7-a9dd-d4479d032f37, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2028, Counterparties: 1eada87e-ae03-4301-bef3-6d38d8db277f, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 7b9088f9-debe-4f95-ab72-cbdd79d5c9da, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 2, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2028, Affected Years: 2029, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: swap_owed, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Protected?: true, Retained Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2029, Affected Years: 2030, Counterparties: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Kind: owed, Pick Id: 8f835b23-dead-4751-be20-7efc21079098, Protected?: false, Retained Part Id: —, Rollover Years: , Round: 1, Unresolved Chain?: false, Year: 2030, Owed First Years: 2028, 2030, Owed Second Years: 2027, 2028, Owed Swaps: 1, Rollover Risk Years:
Tradable First Capacity
1
Supporting values
Calendar Flexibility
30.0
Capacity
Assets: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2033, Candidates: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: bf283b02-a70f-41db-b9e5-0ffcbdb153d4, Pick Id: 23434f94-d107-4f81-b247-359559914c23, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2027, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: db81968c-0c20-405e-86a1-9b889fcb8861, Pick Id: ffad9cb6-b9e5-468e-8e91-33e7be3115fd, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2031, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 3d5afbc6-baff-43cf-909e-a0072afe33ee, Pick Id: 731f5925-c0eb-4c9b-a102-c962969d7593, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2032, Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: as_pick, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: whole, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 2f45362a-3d57-4aea-901a-575c284377f0, Pick Id: c7ccb676-ae61-4d91-b785-fcd34fc6d082, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2033, Capacity: 1, Conditional: , Frozen: , Partial Rights: Chain: Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: —, Pick Id: 33ab85f9-0082-41d8-9bfc-8f1f1af82199, Pick Number: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Retained Range: —, Round: 2, Year: 2029, Chain Role: obligation, Convey Type: rolls_to, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: range_part, Members: —, Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 9a4e6eb8-21ad-450a-941c-2be6df1b11e9, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 2, Step: 1, Rank: —, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: —, Swap Note: —, Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2029, Reserved Years: 2027, 2031, 2032, Swap Rights: Chain: , Chain Role: fallback, Convey Type: —, Frozen: false, Incoming Rollover From: , Kind: swap_outcome, Members: Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: e3ab46f8-6cc3-4c34-b974-5f2c63f42707, Part Id: f5046585-7669-482a-a2fe-0e3be0b12fed, Pick Id: 94e2cc65-25cf-473c-8e5c-b879d87e42d8, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 1, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Incoming Rollover From: , Original Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Part Id: 5672ebf6-ee4d-4fc4-97e1-733049009f96, Pick Id: b000038a-7408-4f7d-aa14-36f2fbb48bfc, Pick Number: —, Range: First: 3, Last: 30, Step: 1, Round: 1, Year: 2029, Original Team Id: —, Part Id: —, Pick Id: —, Pick Number: —, Range: —, Rank: 2, Reason: —, Resolved?: true, Round: 1, Swap Group Id: 58c6b524-b4a5-4545-a63a-1f26fe850199, Swap Note: MEM more favorable of MEM/ORL (ORL top-2 protected; converts to ORL's 2029 2nd if 1-2) [Memphis-Orlando 6/15/2025], Team Id: c2bcd013-3a61-40f7-8654-11199a776bc5, Year: 2029, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1
Clean Years
Count: 2, Detail: 2027: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: stepien_blocked, Swap Rights: 0, 2028: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2029: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 1, Status: partial, Swap Rights: 1, 2030: Complete Firsts: 0, Partial Rights: 0, Status: owed, Swap Rights: 0, 2031: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: stepien_blocked, Swap Rights: 0, 2032: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, 2033: Complete Firsts: 1, Partial Rights: 0, Status: clean, Swap Rights: 0, Window: First: 2027, Last: 2033, Step: 1, Years: 2032, 2033
Encumbrance Control
57.0
Tradable First Capacity
35.0
Asset Exchange Value
0% pillar weight
50.0

Asset Exchange Value scored 2 qualifying transactions provisionally because player valuation calibration or frozen component evidence is incomplete.

Inputs
Total Scale
50.0
Transaction Count
2
Supporting values
Transactions
Acceptance Multiplier: 1.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 3a777a64-f445-48e6-aaaa-3ca36b5872f2, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: aaff888d-8108-402b-b411-26bb5a31c79d, Incoming Effective Value: 0.0, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Normalized Imbalance: 0.0, Outgoing Effective Value: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0, Acceptance Multiplier: 1.0, Components: Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: af299a6e-2053-4c39-9302-ad7c4ed7afed, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: incoming, Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Confidence: provisional, Direction: outgoing, Id: 08536fab-2aa1-428e-bf7c-f5e20823dbfa, Type: player, Value: 0.0, Id: cb3154ce-751a-4c4e-9a87-31a13bce54d4, Incoming Effective Value: 0.0, Incoming Value: 0.0, Net Advantage: 0.0, Normalized Imbalance: 0.0, Outgoing Effective Value: 0.0, Outgoing Value: 0.0, Plausibility Explanation: —, Plausibility Flagged?: false, Player Involved?: true, Scale: 25.0, Score: 50.0, Uncapped Score: 50.0
Fallback: Player or transaction valuation is uncalibrated; Asset Exchange Value is displayed but excluded from the pillar score.
Timeline Alignment
20% overall weight · starting 88.7
92.1

Timeline Alignment applies Retool's targets; Core Age Fit is strongest and Prime Window Alignment is weakest.

Core Age Fit
30% pillar weight
98.8

Core players are scored against Retool's ideal age range.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Supporting values
Ideal Core Age
Max: 29, Min: 23
Penalty Above
12
Penalty Below
8
Players
Age: 24, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Score: 100.0, Age: 28, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Score: 100.0, Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Score: 100.0, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Score: 100.0, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Score: 100.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Score: 92.0
Prime Window Alignment
25% pillar weight
86.3

Prime Window Alignment combines mandate timing and core synchronization.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Prime Midpoint
27.5
Supporting values
Core Synchronization
83.0
Players
Age: 24, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Prime Timing Offset: 3.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 28, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Prime Timing Offset: -0.5, Window Timing Score: 92.5, Age: 29, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Prime Timing Offset: -1.5, Window Timing Score: 77.5, Age: 27, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Prime Timing Offset: 0.5, Window Timing Score: 100.0, Age: 23, Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Prime Timing Offset: 4.5, Window Timing Score: 85.0, Age: 22, Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Prime Timing Offset: 5.5, Window Timing Score: 70.0
Prime Offset Range
Max: 3.5, Min: 0.0
Prime Timing Spread
2.6
Window Timing
88.0
Core Continuity
25% pillar weight
86.7

Core Continuity measures franchise control through the 3-season mandate window.

Inputs
Continuity Horizon
3
Mandate
retool
Supporting values
Overall Core Control
88.7
Players
Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 41754690, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 41754690, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44847630, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44847630, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 47940570, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 47940570, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: fc439ff8-8844-4176-8aff-7faa7773986c, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 39446090, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 39446090, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 42166510, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 42166510, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44886930, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44886930, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: 2ec729c1-059d-41e2-b483-307497b37221, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 45.0, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9220050, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 9220050, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 0.4, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 9659100, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: player, Reason: player option — the player holds the decision, Salary: 9659100, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: player_option, Team Controlled: false, Bird Rights: none, Control Factor: 0.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Unrestricted, no meaningful retention rights (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2028-29, Source: free_agency, Status: ufa_no_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: e5c21468-a269-4a88-98c9-d128d6ebc863, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 98.3, Core Importance Value: 0.9, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 18102000, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 18102000, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 19550160, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 19550160, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 20998320, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 20998320, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: cf1a7874-4e0a-4d4a-bd38-078dacb23103, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 100.0, Continuity Score: 100.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 41240250, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 41240250, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 44539470, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 44539470, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 47838690, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 47838690, Season: 2028-29, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Original Core Weight: 0.2, Player Id: f4688a46-b7ed-4a7a-8619-f9e8228ee0c5, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.2, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.2, Age Fit Score: 92.0, Continuity Score: 90.0, Core Importance Value: 0.8, Horizon: Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 11108880, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Salary fully guaranteed, Salary: 11108880, Season: 2026-27, Source: contract, Status: fully_guaranteed, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: —, Control Factor: 1.0, Estimated: false, Guaranteed: 14041625, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: team, Reason: Team option — the team holds the decision, Salary: 14041625, Season: 2027-28, Source: contract, Status: team_option, Team Controlled: true, Bird Rights: none, Control Factor: 0.8, Estimated: true, Guaranteed: —, Guaranteed Pct: —, Option Decision: —, Option Type: —, Reason: Estimated restricted (D-17): expiring rookie-scale contract (contract expired), Salary: —, Season: 2028-29, Source: free_agency, Status: rfa_rights, Team Controlled: false, Original Core Weight: 0.1, Player Id: 51cbe210-0b67-443e-98ed-d0494c324578, Timeline Relevant Weight: 0.1, Timeline Weight Raw: 0.1
Top End Control
81.9
Fallback: Control status for 2028-29 uses the documented RFA estimate.
Development Environment
20% pillar weight
96.3

Development Environment balances mandate-appropriate youth minutes, veterans, and meaningful young roles.

Inputs
Mandate
retool
Rotation Minutes
240
Supporting values
Developmental Role Distribution
100.0
Established Veteran Count
2
Meaningful Young Role Count
5
Targets
Veteran Count: Max: 5, Min: 2, Young Minute Share: Max: 0.4, Min: 0.2, Young Roles: Max: 5, Min: 2
Veteran Infrastructure
100.0
Young Minute Share
0.4
Young Player Opportunity
91.7
Young Rotation Minutes
106
View final roster

See the Orlando Magic cap sheet this grade was calculated from.

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